WON Case WON KoldingQ W 2-3 Nordsjaelland W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
K

KoldingQ W

Home Side
L L L D W
3W 1D 6L ▼ Trending Down
VS
2-3
N
Nordsjaelland W
Away Side
W W W D L
5W 1D 4L ▲ Trending Up
CAUTION
42%
Thursday, 2nd April 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Nordsjaelland W to win
KoldingQ W 20%
Draw 20%
Nordsjaelland W 60%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds1.67
Implied Prob81.3%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-39.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBK<<<<<<Q<W<<<<<<<<<<<<N<<<<<<<<<<<<<W<<4E5EE20694DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 2 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
2 — Nordsjaelland W to win
1.23
Under 2.5 Goals100% BTTS — No100%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
KoldingQ W vs Nordsjaelland W Competition: Danish Cup Women Date: Thursday, 2nd April 2026 Pick: 2 (Nordsjaelland W to win) Odds: 1.23 Confidence: 42% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (100%) Also: BTTS — No (100%) Ledger Ref: 4E5EE2069
Head to Head
Record
0
KoldingQ W
10
Draws
0
Nordsjaelland W
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Nordsjaelland W won 0 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
KoldingQ W
Metric
Nordsjaelland W
0
Goals For / Game
0
0
Goals Against / Game
0
0%
Clean Sheets
0%
3-1-6
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
30%
50%
0
Avg Goals
0%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
K0
0-0 67.0%
0-1 13.4%
0-2 1.3%
0-3 0.1%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
K1
1-0 13.4%
1-1 2.7%
1-2 0.3%
1-3 0.0%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
K2
2-0 1.3%
2-1 0.3%
2-2 0.0%
2-3 0.0%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
K3
3-0 0.1%
3-1 0.0%
3-2 0.0%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
K4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.0%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(13.4%) 0-2(1.3%) 1-2(0.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing K=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
KoldingQ W Win
20%
5
Draw
20%
5
Nordsjaelland W Win
60%
1.67
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
KoldingQ W
Overall
3.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Nordsjaelland W
Overall
5.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 33%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 56%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 33%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 56%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.03.26
Cup: Nordsjælland W6
Kolding IF0
21.03.26
Kvindeligaen: Nordsjælland W4
Kolding IF1
22.11.25
Kvindeligaen: Nordsjælland W3
Kolding IF1
23.09.25
Kvindeligaen: Kolding IF W0
Nordsjælland5
11.10.24
Kvindeligaen: Kolding IF W0
Nordsjælland1
10.08.24
Kvindeligaen: Nordsjælland W4
Kolding IF0
09.06.24
Kvindeligaen: Nordsjælland W2
Kolding IF0
13.04.24
Kvindeligaen: Kolding IF W0
Nordsjælland1
16.12.23
Kvindeligaen: Nordsjælland W1
Kolding IF0
14.10.23
Kvindeligaen: Kolding IF W2
Nordsjælland0
Recent Form
KoldingQ W
29.03.26
AL: Kolding IF W0
Brøndby W3
L
25.03.26
Cup: Nordsjælland W6
Kolding IF W0
L
21.03.26
AL: Nordsjælland W4
Kolding IF W1
L
17.03.26
AL: Kolding IF W0
Aarhus W0
D
14.02.26
CF: Kolding IF W3
ASA Aarhus W0
W
10.02.26
CF: Kolding IF W2
Odense Q W0
W
06.12.25
Cup: Kolding IF W3
Midtjylland W1
W
22.11.25
AL: Nordsjælland W3
Kolding IF W1
L
16.11.25
AL: Kolding IF W0
Brøndby W1
L
11.11.25
AL: Midtjylland W2
Kolding IF W0
L
Nordsjaelland W
28.03.26
AL: Nordsjælland W3
Aarhus W1
W
25.03.26
Cup: Nordsjælland W6
Kolding IF W0
W
21.03.26
AL: Nordsjælland W4
Kolding IF W1
W
14.03.26
AL: HB Køge W3
Nordsjælland W3
D
18.02.26
EC: Nordsjælland W2
Eintracht Frankfurt W3
L
11.02.26
EC: Eintracht Frankfurt W4
Nordsjælland W0
L
06.02.26
CF: Malmö FF W3
Nordsjælland W2
L
30.01.26
CF: Nordsjælland W2
Häcken W4
L
17.01.26
CF: Vittsjö W1
Nordsjælland W5
W
06.12.25
Cup: Østerbro W0
Nordsjælland W6
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 2nd April 2026, KoldingQ W host Nordsjaelland W in Danish Cup Women. Our analysis desk recommends Nordsjaelland W to win as the standout selection.

KoldingQ W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Nordsjaelland W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour KoldingQ W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Nordsjaelland W's 0, with 10 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.

Our verdict: nordsjaelland w to win at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Danish Cup Women game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 2, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.23. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 2 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for KoldingQ W vs Nordsjaelland W?
Our selection is 2 — Nordsjaelland W to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 42%.
What is KoldingQ W's current form?
KoldingQ W have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Nordsjaelland W been performing recently?
Nordsjaelland W have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
KoldingQ W lead with 0 wins versus Nordsjaelland W's 0, with 10 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 0 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
⚠️
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