WON Case WON Elana Torun 5-1 Rewal
Fixture Case File · Ref V
E

Elana Torun

Home Side
W W L W D
5W 4D 1L → Holding Steady
VS
5-1
R
Rewal
Away Side
D L W L L
2W 2D 6L ▲ Trending Up
CAUTION
19%
Monday, 23rd March 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Elana Torun to win
Implied Prob70.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-51.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBE<<<<<T<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<R<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<F39D11C174DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 24 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
2
Elana Torun
1
Draws
0
Rewal
3
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Elana Torun won 2 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Elana Torun
Metric
Rewal
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.8
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-4-1
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
E0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 7.0%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
E1
1-0 12.9%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 5.2%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
E2
2-0 10.6%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
E3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
E4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
E5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.9%) 2-0(10.6%) 2-1(9.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing E=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Elana Torun
Overall
6.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.0
Rewal
Overall
2.6
Scoring
2.0
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.08.25
3L: Rewal0
Elana Torun3
19.04.25
3L: Elana Torun0
Rewal0
21.09.24
3L: Rewal1
Elana Torun3
Recent Form
Elana Torun
17.03.26
3L: Elana Toruń1
Błękitni Stargard0
W
14.03.26
3L: Elana Toruń3
Nowe Skalmierzyce1
W
08.03.26
3L: Elana Toruń0
Środa3
L
28.02.26
3L: Elana Toruń1
Cartusia Kartuzy0
W
21.02.26
CF: Elana Toruń1
Wikielec1
D
13.02.26
CF: Warta Poznań1
Elana Toruń2
W
07.02.26
CF: Ol. Grudziądz3
Elana Toruń3
D
31.01.26
CF: Elana Toruń2
Płock II2
D
23.11.25
3L: Lech Poznań II1
Elana Toruń2
W
15.11.25
3L: Tłuchowo0
Elana Toruń0
D
Rewal
14.03.26
3L: Rewal1
Lipno Stęszew1
D
07.03.26
3L: Cartusia Kartuzy4
Rewal1
L
27.02.26
3L: Rewal2
Września1
W
29.11.25
3L: Noteć Czarnków2
Rewal0
L
26.11.25
3L: Pogoń Szczecin II5
Rewal1
L
22.11.25
3L: Rewal0
Tłuchowo1
L
09.11.25
3L: Rewal0
Unia Swarzędz0
D
31.10.25
3L: Rewal0
Środa2
L
25.10.25
3L: Świnoujście0
Rewal1
W
22.10.25
3L: Rewal0
Lech Poznań II2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 23rd March 2026, Elana Torun host Rewal in Poland III Liga. Our analysis desk recommends Elana Torun to win as the standout selection.

Elana Torun arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Rewal are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Elana Torun, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Rewal's 0, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: elana torun to win at odds of 1.41 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Poland III Liga game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.41. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 24 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Elana Torun vs Rewal?
Our selection is 1 — Elana Torun to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 19%.
What is Elana Torun's current form?
Elana Torun have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rewal been performing recently?
Rewal have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Elana Torun lead with 2 wins versus Rewal's 0, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.