LOST Case LOST Chengdu Rongcheng 0-1 Shanghai Port
Fixture Case File ยท Ref V โšฝ
C

Chengdu Rongcheng

Home Side
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L โ–ผ Trending Down
VS
0-1
S
Shanghai Port
Away Side
D D D L W
2W 4D 4L โ†’ Holding Steady
โš‘
MODERATE
62%
Tuesday, 19th May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Chengdu Rongcheng to win
Chengdu Rongcheng 50%
Draw 30%
Shanghai Port 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob68%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBC<<<<<<<R<<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<<<<P<<<<<<<C2CABB0BC4DFB2609102M2609109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst ยท Last checked 20 May 2026
โœ“ Data-Audited โœ“ Independently Checked
โšก
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 โ€” Chengdu Rongcheng to win
1.47
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80%
๐Ÿ“‹ Case Slip / Combo Builder
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai Port Competition: China Super League Date: Tuesday, 19th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Chengdu Rongcheng to win) Odds: 1.47 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: C2CABB0BC
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Head to Head
Record
5
Chengdu Rongcheng
1
Draws
4
Shanghai Port
10
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral Chengdu Rongcheng won 5 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
๐Ÿ“Š
Stats Duel
Comparison
Chengdu Rongcheng
Metric
Shanghai Port
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
9-1-0
W โ€” D โ€” L
2-4-4
Win Rate
90%
20%
3.2
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
๐ŸŽฏ
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
C0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 4.9%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 8.6%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 5.7%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 8.6%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 5.7%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
C4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 1.9%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(8.6%) 2-0(8.6%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts filing C=Home goals โ†“   S=Away โ†’
๐Ÿ“‰
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Chengdu Rongcheng Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Shanghai Port Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Team Ratings
Grades
Chengdu Rongcheng
Overall
9.3 โ–ผ
Scoring
8.7 โ–ผ
Defence
7.0 โ–ผ
Shanghai Port
Overall
3.2 โ€”
Scoring
4.7 โ€”
Defence
5.3 โ€”
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 44%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 47%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
๐Ÿงฎ
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”Ž How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter โ€” a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee โ€” it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

๐Ÿ“ Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds โ€” no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status โ€” nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
๐Ÿ“œ
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.08.25SL
Chengdu Rongcheng4
Shanghai Port1
20.04.25SL
Shanghai Port1
Chengdu Rongcheng3
18.10.24SL
Chengdu Rongcheng3
Shanghai Port1
22.05.24SL
Shanghai Port2
Chengdu Rongcheng0
23.09.23SL
Chengdu Rongcheng2
Shanghai Port1
03.06.23SL
Shanghai Port0
Chengdu Rongcheng1
08.01.23FAC
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Shanghai Port4
05.01.23FAC
Shanghai Port4
Chengdu Rongcheng0
10.12.22SL
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Shanghai Port0
29.09.22SL
Shanghai Port3
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Recent Form
Chengdu Rongcheng
15.05.26SL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Chengdu Rongcheng2
W
09.05.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng3
Henan Songshan Longmen0
W
05.05.26SL
Liaoning Tieren0
Chengdu Rongcheng1
W
01.05.26SL
Shanghai Shenhua2
Chengdu Rongcheng3
W
25.04.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng4
Zhejiang Professional0
W
21.04.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng2
Yunnan Yukun1
W
17.04.26SL
Wuhan Three Towns0
Chengdu Rongcheng1
W
12.04.26SL
Beijing Guoan1
Chengdu Rongcheng2
W
03.04.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng5
Qingdao West Coast1
W
21.03.26SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong3
Chengdu Rongcheng3
D
Shanghai Port
15.05.26SL
Shanghai Port2
Zhejiang Professional2
D
10.05.26SL
Beijing Guoan2
Shanghai Port2
D
06.05.26SL
Shanghai Port1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
D
02.05.26SL
Qingdao Hainiu3
Shanghai Port1
L
25.04.26SL
Shanghai Port4
Wuhan Three Towns0
W
21.04.26SL
Shanghai Port1
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
L
17.04.26SL
Shandong Taishan1
Shanghai Port1
D
11.04.26SL
Shanghai Shenhua1
Shanghai Port0
L
04.04.26SL
Shanghai Port2
Yunnan Yukun1
W
20.03.26SL
Dalian Yingbo1
Shanghai Port0
L
๐Ÿ“
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 19th May 2026, Chengdu Rongcheng host Shanghai Port in China Super League. Our analysis desk recommends Chengdu Rongcheng to win as the standout selection.

Chengdu Rongcheng arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Shanghai Port are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Chengdu Rongcheng, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Shanghai Port's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: chengdu rongcheng to win at odds of 1.47 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This China Super League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.47. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 20 May 2026
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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai Port?
Our selection is 1 โ€” Chengdu Rongcheng to win, priced at approximately 1.47. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Chengdu Rongcheng's current form?
Chengdu Rongcheng have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shanghai Port been performing recently?
Shanghai Port have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Chengdu Rongcheng lead with 5 wins versus Shanghai Port's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
โš ๏ธ
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