WON Case WON Bischofshofen 4-1 Lauterach
Fixture Case File · Ref V
B

Bischofshofen

Home Side
W L L W W
6W 1D 3L ▲ Trending Up
VS
4-1
L
Lauterach
Away Side
L L L L W
2W 1D 7L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
62%
Saturday, 16th May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Bischofshofen to win
Bischofshofen 50%
Draw 30%
Lauterach 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob77.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-15.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBB<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<L<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<F0749CF1A4DFB2609102M2609109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 16 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Bischofshofen to win
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Bischofshofen vs Lauterach Competition: Austria Regionalliga West Date: Saturday, 16th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Bischofshofen to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ledger Ref: F0749CF1A
Head to Head
Record
3
Bischofshofen
0
Draws
0
Lauterach
3
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Bischofshofen won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Bischofshofen
Metric
Lauterach
2
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.9
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-1-3
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
60%
20%
3.7
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
B0
0-0 2.5%
0-1 3.1%
0-2 1.9%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 6.1%
1-1 7.6%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.2%
B2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 2.4%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
B3
3-0 6.1%
3-1 7.6%
3-2 4.7%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
B4
4-0 3.7%
4-1 4.6%
4-2 2.9%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
B5
5-0 1.8%
5-1 2.3%
5-2 1.4%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.3%) 3-1(7.6%) 2-0(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing B=Home goals ↓   L=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Bischofshofen Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Lauterach Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Bischofshofen
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
6.3
Lauterach
Overall
2.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
0.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 54%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
11.10.25RL
Lauterach1
Bischofshofen3
24.05.25RL
Bischofshofen4
Lauterach1
19.10.24RL
Lauterach0
Bischofshofen2
Recent Form
Bischofshofen
09.05.26RL
FC Lustenau1
Bischofshofen4
W
02.05.26RL
Bischofshofen0
Wacker Innsbruck4
L
26.04.26RL
Kitzbuhel2
Bischofshofen0
L
18.04.26RL
Bischofshofen3
Wals-Grunau0
W
10.04.26RL
Saalfelden1
Bischofshofen3
W
06.04.26RL
Bischofshofen0
Dornbirn0
D
03.04.26RL
Reichenau1
Bischofshofen0
L
28.03.26RL
Bischofshofen3
Seekirchen1
W
24.03.26RL
Altach U211
Bischofshofen3
W
21.03.26RL
Bischofshofen4
TSV St. Johann0
W
Lauterach
02.05.26RL
Lauterach2
FC Lustenau3
L
24.04.26RL
Wacker Innsbruck3
Lauterach0
L
18.04.26RL
Lauterach0
Kitzbuhel3
L
11.04.26RL
Wals-Grunau3
Lauterach1
L
06.04.26RL
Lauterach1
Saalfelden0
W
03.04.26RL
Dornbirn6
Lauterach2
L
28.03.26RL
Lauterach2
Reichenau2
D
25.03.26RL
Seekirchen3
Lauterach2
L
21.03.26RL
Lauterach4
Altach U213
W
14.03.26RL
TSV St. Johann3
Lauterach0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 16th May 2026, Bischofshofen host Lauterach in Austria Regionalliga West. Our analysis desk recommends Bischofshofen to win as the standout selection.

Bischofshofen arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Lauterach are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Bischofshofen, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Lauterach's 0, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: bischofshofen to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Austria Regionalliga West game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.29. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 16 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Bischofshofen vs Lauterach?
Our selection is 1 — Bischofshofen to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Bischofshofen's current form?
Bischofshofen have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Lauterach been performing recently?
Lauterach have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bischofshofen lead with 3 wins versus Lauterach's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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