WON Case WON Badalona W 0-4 Real Madrid W
Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽
B

Badalona W

Home Side
D L L L W
3W 2D 5L ▼ Trending Down
VS
0-4
R
Real Madrid W
Away Side
W W D W L
5W 1D 4L ▲ Trending Up
⚑
MODERATE
63%
Tuesday, 26th May 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Real Madrid W to win
Badalona W 20%
Draw 30%
Real Madrid W 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob71.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-8.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBB<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<R<<<<M<<<<<<W<<<<6ABD744DD4DFB2610082M2610089<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 27 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
⚡
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
2 — Real Madrid W to win
1.39
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Badalona W vs Real Madrid W Competition: La Liga F Women Date: Tuesday, 26th May 2026 Pick: 2 (Real Madrid W to win) Odds: 1.39 Confidence: 63% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: 6ABD744DD
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Head to Head
Record
0
Badalona W
0
Draws
7
Real Madrid W
7
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
57%
BTTS
86%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Real Madrid W won 7 of 7 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Badalona W
Metric
Real Madrid W
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.3
2.5
Goals Against / Game
1.7
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
3-2-5
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
30%
50%
3.5
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
B0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 5.5%
0-3 3.5%
0-4 1.6%
0-5 0.6%
B1
1-0 4.8%
1-1 9.2%
1-2 8.7%
1-3 5.5%
1-4 2.6%
1-5 1.0%
B2
2-0 3.9%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 7.0%
2-3 4.4%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.8%
B3
3-0 2.1%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 2.4%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.4%
B4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
B5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(8.7%) 0-1(5.7%) 1-3(5.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing B=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Badalona W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Real Madrid W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Badalona W
Overall
3.6 ▲
Scoring
5.0 ▲
Defence
1.7 ▲
Real Madrid W
Overall
5.3 —
Scoring
4.3 —
Defence
4.3 —
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 31%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.10.25LF
Real Madrid W3
Badalona0
16.02.25LF
Real Madrid W3
Badalona2
09.11.24LF
Badalona W1
Real Madrid3
28.04.24LF
Real Madrid W2
Badalona1
17.12.23LF
Badalona W0
Real Madrid2
31.03.23LF
Real Madrid W3
Badalona0
03.12.22LF
Badalona W1
Real Madrid4
Recent Form
Badalona W
09.05.26LF
Espanyol W1
Badalona W1
D
02.05.26LF
Badalona W0
Athletic Bilbao W1
L
25.04.26LF
Badalona W2
Atl. Madrid W4
L
06.04.26LF
Barcelona W6
Badalona W0
L
28.03.26LF
Badalona W3
Alhama W2
W
22.03.26LF
Sevilla FC W1
Badalona W5
W
18.03.26CDR
Barcelona W4
Badalona W1
L
15.03.26LF
Badalona W0
Granada CF W4
L
12.03.26CDR
Badalona W0
Barcelona W0
D
21.02.26LF
DUX Logrono W2
Badalona W3
W
Real Madrid W
10.05.26LF
Real Madrid W1
Atl. Madrid W0
W
02.05.26LF
Sevilla FC W0
Real Madrid W2
W
26.04.26LF
Real Madrid W1
DUX Logrono W1
D
05.04.26LF
Madrid C. W0
Real Madrid W2
W
02.04.26CL
Barcelona W6
Real Madrid W0
L
29.03.26LF
Real Madrid W0
Barcelona W3
L
25.03.26CL
Real Madrid W2
Barcelona W6
L
22.03.26LF
Eibar W0
Real Madrid W1
W
14.03.26LF
Real Sociedad W0
Real Madrid W3
W
22.02.26LF
Real Madrid W2
Costa Adeje Tenerife W0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 26th May 2026, Badalona W host Real Madrid W in La Liga F Women. Our analysis desk recommends Real Madrid W to win as the standout selection.

Badalona W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Real Madrid W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Badalona W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Real Madrid W's 7, with 0 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 57% of those meetings.

Our verdict: real madrid w to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This La Liga F Women game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 2, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.39. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 27 May 2026
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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Badalona W vs Real Madrid W?
Our selection is 2 — Real Madrid W to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Badalona W's current form?
Badalona W have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Real Madrid W been performing recently?
Real Madrid W have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Badalona W lead with 0 wins versus Real Madrid W's 7, with 0 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 57%.
⚠️
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