WON Case WON H Beer Sheva 1-2 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Fixture Case File · Ref V
H

H Beer Sheva

Home Side
L W W D W
6W 2D 2L ▼ Trending Down
VS
1-2
M
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Away Side
D L L W D
3W 2D 5L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
86%
Tuesday, 26th May 2026 Case Verdict
Over 1.5
Filing on over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob83.3%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+2.7%Value detected
Kelly %16%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBH<B<<<<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<<M<<<<<<<T<<<A<<<<B9551F8AB4DFB2609202M2609209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 27 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.20
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
H Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Competition: Israel Ligat Ha'al Date: Tuesday, 26th May 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 86% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: B9551F8AB
Head to Head
Record
4
H Beer Sheva
2
Draws
4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Over 1.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
H Beer Sheva
Metric
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.8
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-2-2
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
60%
30%
3.4
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
H0
0-0 3.3%
0-1 4.8%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
H1
1-0 6.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 6.8%
1-3 3.3%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.4%
H2
2-0 6.4%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.3%
H3
3-0 4.1%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
H4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(9.4%) 2-1(9.2%) 1-2(6.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing H=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
H Beer Sheva
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.7
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 33%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.05.26LH
H. Beer Sheva4
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
28.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva0
12.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva3
07.12.25LH
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv0
13.07.25SC
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva2
05.05.25LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva1
31.03.25LH
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
01.01.25LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
14.09.24LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva0
18.05.24LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
H. Beer Sheva0
Recent Form
H Beer Sheva
23.05.26LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Maccabi Haifa5
L
19.05.26LH
H. Beer Sheva4
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
W
15.05.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
H. Beer Sheva2
W
12.05.26LH
Beitar Jerusalem1
H. Beer Sheva1
D
09.05.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
H. Beer Sheva4
W
06.05.26LH
Maccabi Haifa0
H. Beer Sheva1
W
02.05.26LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
W
28.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva0
L
25.04.26LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Beitar Jerusalem2
D
18.04.26LH
H. Beer Sheva3
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
W
Maccabi Tel Aviv
23.05.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
D
19.05.26LH
H. Beer Sheva4
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
L
16.05.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Beitar Jerusalem2
L
13.05.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Maccabi Haifa0
W
09.05.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
D
05.05.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv4
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
W
02.05.26LH
Beitar Jerusalem4
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
L
28.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva0
W
25.04.26LH
Maccabi Haifa1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
W
19.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 26th May 2026, H Beer Sheva host Maccabi Tel Aviv in Israel Ligat Ha'al. Our analysis desk recommends over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

H Beer Sheva arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Maccabi Tel Aviv are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour H Beer Sheva, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Maccabi Tel Aviv's 4, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Israel Ligat Ha’al game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 1.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.20. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 27 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for H Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 86%.
What is H Beer Sheva's current form?
H Beer Sheva have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Maccabi Tel Aviv been performing recently?
Maccabi Tel Aviv have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
H Beer Sheva lead with 4 wins versus Maccabi Tel Aviv's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.