LOST Case LOST Al Shorta 0-0 Al Minaa
Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽
A

Al Shorta

Home Side
W L W W W
6W 2D 2L ▼ Trending Down
VS
0-0
A
Al Minaa
Away Side
D D W D L
3W 4D 3L ▲ Trending Up
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MODERATE
58%
Tuesday, 2nd June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Al Shorta to win
Al Shorta 50%
Draw 30%
Al Minaa 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob75.2%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-17.2%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBA<<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<A<<M<<<<<<<<<<<<<37BE8BA294DFB2610092M2610099<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 3 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
⚡
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Al Shorta to win
1.33
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Al Shorta vs Al Minaa Competition: Iraq Stars League Date: Tuesday, 2nd June 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Shorta to win) Odds: 1.33 Confidence: 58% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: 37BE8BA29
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Head to Head
Record
7
Al Shorta
3
Draws
0
Al Minaa
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Al Shorta won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Shorta
Metric
Al Minaa
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.5
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-2-2
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate
60%
30%
2.7
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 4.3%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 11.0%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 6.6%
1-3 2.4%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
A2
2-0 8.5%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 5.1%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.0%) 2-1(9.3%) 2-0(8.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Shorta Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Minaa Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Shorta
Overall
6.6 ▼
Scoring
5.3 ▼
Defence
7.3 ▼
Al Minaa
Overall
4.2 ▲
Scoring
4.7 ▲
Defence
5.0 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
23.01.26SL
Al Minaa1
Al Shorta1
17.04.25SL
Al Minaa0
Al Shorta1
29.12.24SL
Al Shorta1
Al Minaa1
14.04.24SL
Al Shorta2
Al Minaa0
09.04.24CUP
Al Minaa0
Al Shorta2
03.11.23SL
Al Minaa0
Al Shorta3
02.06.22SL
Al Minaa1
Al Shorta1
26.12.21SL
Al Shorta3
Al Minaa1
16.05.21SL
Al Minaa2
Al Shorta3
02.01.21SL
Al Shorta4
Al Minaa2
Recent Form
Al Shorta
28.05.26SL
Al Karkh0
Al Shorta2
W
20.05.26SL
Al Shorta0
Erbil2
L
15.05.26SL
Diyala0
Al Shorta2
W
10.05.26SL
Al Shorta1
Al Gharraf0
W
05.05.26SL
Newroz0
Al Shorta3
W
01.05.26SL
Al Shorta1
Al Naft0
W
26.04.26SL
Naft Missan2
Al Shorta2
D
22.04.26SL
Al Shorta3
Al-Qassim1
W
17.04.26SL
Al-Karma1
Al Shorta1
D
13.04.26SL
Al Shorta1
Al Zawraa2
L
Al Minaa
28.05.26SL
Al Minaa1
Al Talaba1
D
24.05.26SL
Al Minaa2
Zakho2
D
20.05.26SL
Al Minaa1
Al Mosul0
W
14.05.26SL
Al Naft1
Al Minaa1
D
10.05.26SL
Al Minaa0
Al Zawraa2
L
06.05.26SL
Al-Qassim3
Al Minaa3
D
02.05.26SL
Al Minaa0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
L
28.04.26SL
Al Gharraf0
Al Minaa1
W
21.04.26SL
Al Minaa4
Baghdad0
W
13.04.26SL
Newroz4
Al Minaa1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 2nd June 2026, Al Shorta host Al Minaa in Iraq Stars League. Our analysis desk recommends Al Shorta to win as the standout selection.

Al Shorta arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Minaa are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 4D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Shorta, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Al Minaa's 0, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al shorta to win at odds of 1.33 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Iraq Stars League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.33. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 3 Jun 2026
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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Shorta vs Al Minaa?
Our selection is 1 — Al Shorta to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Al Shorta's current form?
Al Shorta have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Minaa been performing recently?
Al Minaa have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Shorta lead with 7 wins versus Al Minaa's 0, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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