WON Case WON Banfield 2 2-1 Sarmiento Junin 2
Fixture Case File · Ref V
B

Banfield 2

Home Side
L D L D W
0W 10D 0L → Holding Steady
VS
2-1
S
Sarmiento Junin 2
Away Side
L W L L L
0W 10D 0L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
90%
Tuesday, 2nd June 2026 Case Verdict
1X
Filing on Banfield 2 to win or draw
Implied Prob86.2%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+3.8%Value detected
Kelly %27.5%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBB<<<<<<<<2<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<<<<<J<<<<<2EB6F4E72D4DFB2609212M2609219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 3 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1X — Banfield 2 to win or draw
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals100% Over 1.5 Goals100% BTTS — Yes100%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Banfield 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2 Competition: Argentina Reserve League Date: Tuesday, 2nd June 2026 Pick: 1X (Banfield 2 to win or draw) Odds: 1.16 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (100%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%) Also: BTTS — Yes (100%) Ledger Ref: EB6F4E72D
Head to Head
Record
0
Banfield 2
3
Draws
0
Sarmiento Junin 2
3
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Banfield 2
Metric
Sarmiento Junin 2
2
Goals For / Game
2
2
Goals Against / Game
2
0%
Clean Sheets
0%
0-10-0
W — D — L
0-10-0
Win Rate
0%
0%
4
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
100%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
B0
0-0 1.8%
0-1 3.7%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 2.4%
0-4 1.2%
0-5 0.5%
B1
1-0 3.7%
1-1 7.3%
1-2 7.3%
1-3 4.9%
1-4 2.4%
1-5 1.0%
B2
2-0 3.7%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 7.3%
2-3 4.9%
2-4 2.4%
2-5 1.0%
B3
3-0 2.4%
3-1 4.9%
3-2 4.9%
3-3 3.3%
3-4 1.6%
3-5 0.7%
B4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 2.4%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 1.6%
4-4 0.8%
4-5 0.3%
B5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.7%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-1(7.3%) 2-1(7.3%) 2-2(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing B=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Banfield 2
Overall
3.0
Scoring
6.7
Defence
3.3
Sarmiento Junin 2
Overall
3.0
Scoring
6.7
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 0%
Draw & BTTS Yes 100%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 100%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.07.23RL
Banfield2
Sarmiento Junin2
22.10.22RL
Sarmiento Junin2
Banfield2
16.02.22RL
Sarmiento Junin2
Banfield2
Recent Form
Banfield 2
26.05.26RL
Argentinos Jrs2
Banfield 22
L
19.05.26RL
Banfield2
Aldosivi 22
D
12.05.26RL
Gimnasia L.P.2
Banfield 22
L
07.05.26RL
Banfield2
Union de Santa Fe 22
D
30.04.26RL
Atl. Tucuman2
Banfield 22
W
22.04.26RL
Banfield2
Lanus 22
W
15.04.26RL
Banfield2
Godoy Cruz 22
W
08.04.26RL
Gimnasia Mendoza2
Banfield 22
W
01.04.26RL
Banfield2
Barracas Central 22
L
26.03.26RL
Talleres Cordoba2
Banfield 22
D
Sarmiento Junin 2
28.05.26RL
Sarmiento Junin2
Rosario Central 22
L
20.05.26RL
Tigre2
Sarmiento Junin 22
W
14.05.26RL
Sarmiento Junin2
San Lorenzo 22
L
06.05.26RL
Velez Sarsfield2
Sarmiento Junin 22
L
28.04.26RL
Sarmiento Junin2
River Plate 22
L
22.04.26RL
Atl. Rafaela2
Sarmiento Junin 22
W
14.04.26RL
Racing Club2
Sarmiento Junin 22
D
09.04.26RL
Sarmiento Junin2
Instituto 22
D
03.04.26RL
Sarmiento Junin2
Argentinos Jrs 22
L
25.03.26RL
Aldosivi2
Sarmiento Junin 22
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 2nd June 2026, Banfield 2 host Sarmiento Junin 2 in Argentina Reserve League. Our analysis desk recommends Banfield 2 to win or draw as the standout selection.

Banfield 2 arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 0 wins, 10 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Sarmiento Junin 2 are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 10D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Banfield 2, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Sarmiento Junin 2's 0, with 3 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: banfield 2 to win or draw at odds of 1.16 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Argentina Reserve League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1X, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.16. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 3 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Banfield 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2?
Our selection is 1X — Banfield 2 to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Banfield 2's current form?
Banfield 2 have won 0, drawn 10 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sarmiento Junin 2 been performing recently?
Sarmiento Junin 2 have recorded 0 wins, 10 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Banfield 2 lead with 0 wins versus Sarmiento Junin 2's 0, with 3 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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