WON Case WON Cruzeiro U20 3-0 Fortaleza U20
Fixture Case File · Ref V
C

Cruzeiro U20

Home Side
W D W W D
6W 3D 1L ▲ Trending Up
VS
3-0
F
Fortaleza U20
Away Side
L L L W W
3W 2D 5L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
62%
Thursday, 11th June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Cruzeiro U20 to win
Cruzeiro U20 50%
Draw 30%
Fortaleza U20 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob69%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBC<<<<<<<<U20<<<<<<<<<<F<<<<<<<<<U20<<<<A8BDBDD9A4DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 12 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Cruzeiro U20 to win
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals80% Cruzeiro U20 Clean Sheet60%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Cruzeiro U20 vs Fortaleza U20 Competition: Brasileiro U20 Date: Thursday, 11th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Cruzeiro U20 to win) Odds: 1.45 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: Cruzeiro U20 Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: A8BDBDD9A
Head to Head
Record
5
Cruzeiro U20
0
Draws
1
Fortaleza U20
6
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
83%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Cruzeiro U20 won 5 of the last 6 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Cruzeiro U20
Metric
Fortaleza U20
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-3-1
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
60%
30%
2.9
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
C0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 7.2%
0-2 4.7%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
C1
1-0 8.8%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 3.2%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
C2
2-0 7.0%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.0%
2-3 2.6%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
C3
3-0 3.8%
3-1 4.9%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
C4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.2%) 1-0(8.8%) 2-0(7.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Cruzeiro U20 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Fortaleza U20 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Cruzeiro U20
Overall
6.9
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.0
Fortaleza U20
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.03.25BRA
Cruzeiro U204
Fortaleza U201
12.09.24BRA
Cruzeiro U203
Fortaleza U200
24.04.24BRA
Cruzeiro U201
Fortaleza U200
26.04.23BRA
Cruzeiro U203
Fortaleza U200
23.07.22BRA
Fortaleza U202
Cruzeiro U201
27.06.21BRA
Cruzeiro U204
Fortaleza U200
Recent Form
Cruzeiro U20
06.06.26MIN
Uberabinha U200
Cruzeiro U201
W
30.05.26MIN
Cruzeiro U200
Villa Real U200
D
26.05.26BRA
Fluminense U200
Cruzeiro U202
W
23.05.26MIN
Cruzeiro U203
Boston City U200
W
20.05.26BRA
Cruzeiro U200
Vitoria U200
D
16.05.26BRA
Botafogo U203
Cruzeiro U201
L
13.05.26BRA
Sao Paulo U202
Cruzeiro U202
D
09.05.26MIN
Inter de Minas U200
Cruzeiro U201
W
06.05.26BRA
Cruzeiro U205
Gremio U202
W
02.05.26MIN
Cruzeiro U203
Atletico-MG U202
W
Fortaleza U20
27.05.26BRA
Fortaleza U201
Palmeiras U202
L
21.05.26BRA
Bahia U203
Fortaleza U202
L
16.05.26BRA
Fortaleza U201
Santos U202
L
13.05.26BRA
Criciuma U201
Fortaleza U202
W
09.05.26CEA
Fortaleza U205
Anjos do Ceu U200
W
05.05.26BRA
RB Bragantino U202
Fortaleza U200
L
30.04.26BRA
Fortaleza U201
Juventude U201
D
26.04.26BRA
Botafogo U202
Fortaleza U201
L
22.04.26BRA
Fortaleza U201
America MG U201
D
18.04.26CEA
Fortaleza U203
Horizonte U200
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 11th June 2026, Cruzeiro U20 host Fortaleza U20 in Brasileiro U20 . Our analysis desk recommends Cruzeiro U20 to win as the standout selection.

Cruzeiro U20 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Fortaleza U20 are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cruzeiro U20, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Fortaleza U20's 1, with 0 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cruzeiro u20 to win at odds of 1.45 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Brasileiro U20 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.45. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 12 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cruzeiro U20 vs Fortaleza U20?
Our selection is 1 — Cruzeiro U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Cruzeiro U20's current form?
Cruzeiro U20 have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Fortaleza U20 been performing recently?
Fortaleza U20 have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cruzeiro U20 lead with 5 wins versus Fortaleza U20's 1, with 0 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.