WON Case WON Haukar 2-2 Kormakur/Hvot
Fixture Case File · Ref V
H

Haukar

Home Side
W W W W W
7W 0D 3L ▲ Trending Up
VS
2-2
K
Kormakur/Hvot
Away Side
W D W L W
5W 1D 4L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
90%
Wednesday, 10th June 2026 Case Verdict
1X
Filing on Haukar to win or draw
Implied Prob90.1%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-0.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBH<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<K<<<<<<<<H<<<<<<<F325845EF4DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 11 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1X — Haukar to win or draw
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Haukar vs Kormakur/Hvot Competition: Iceland Division 2 Date: Wednesday, 10th June 2026 Pick: 1X (Haukar to win or draw) Odds: 1.11 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%) Ledger Ref: F325845EF
Head to Head
Record
2
Haukar
2
Draws
0
Kormakur/Hvot
4
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Haukar
Metric
Kormakur/Hvot
2.6
Goals For / Game
2.4
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.9
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-0-3
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
70%
50%
4.2
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
H0
0-0 1.6%
0-1 3.0%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
H1
1-0 3.6%
1-1 6.7%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 4.1%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.7%
H2
2-0 4.0%
2-1 7.6%
2-2 7.2%
2-3 4.6%
2-4 2.2%
2-5 0.8%
H3
3-0 3.0%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 5.4%
3-3 3.4%
3-4 1.6%
3-5 0.6%
H4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 3.0%
4-3 1.9%
4-4 0.9%
4-5 0.4%
H5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 1.4%
5-3 0.9%
5-4 0.4%
5-5 0.2%
Top Scores 2-1(7.6%) 2-2(7.2%) 1-1(6.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing H=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Haukar
Overall
7.0
Scoring
8.7
Defence
5.3
Kormakur/Hvot
Overall
5.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 1%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 45%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.08.25D2
Kormakur/Hvot2
Haukar2
09.06.25D2
Haukar2
Kormakur/Hvot1
31.07.24D2
Haukar5
Kormakur/Hvot1
25.05.24D2
Kormakur/Hvot1
Haukar1
Recent Form
Haukar
05.06.26D2
Hviti0
Haukar2
W
31.05.26D2
Haukar3
KFA2
W
21.05.26D2
KFG Gardabaer0
Haukar4
W
15.05.26D2
Haukar3
Fjolnir1
W
09.05.26D2
Haukar6
Magni1
W
01.05.26D2
Throttur Vogar2
Haukar1
L
06.04.26CUP
Akranes4
Haukar0
L
30.03.26CUP
Haukar3
KFR0
W
19.03.26CUP
Vaengirs2
Haukar3
W
13.09.25D2
Kari2
Haukar1
L
Kormakur/Hvot
05.06.26D2
Kormakur/Hvot7
Magni1
W
31.05.26D2
Throttur Vogar1
Kormakur/Hvot1
D
23.05.26D2
Kormakur/Hvot4
Kari1
W
16.05.26D2
Selfoss2
Kormakur/Hvot1
L
09.05.26D2
Olafsvik0
Kormakur/Hvot2
W
02.05.26D2
Dalvik/Reynir1
Kormakur/Hvot0
L
04.04.26CUP
Kormakur/Hvot1
Breidablik6
L
28.03.26CUP
Volsungur2
Kormakur/Hvot3
W
19.09.25FC
Tindastoll3
Kormakur/Hvot1
L
13.09.25D2
Hottur / Huginn2
Kormakur/Hvot4
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 10th June 2026, Haukar host Kormakur/Hvot in Iceland Division 2. Our analysis desk recommends Haukar to win or draw as the standout selection.

Haukar arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kormakur/Hvot are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Haukar, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Kormakur/Hvot's 0, with 2 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: haukar to win or draw at odds of 1.11 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Iceland Division 2 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1X, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.11. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 11 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Haukar vs Kormakur/Hvot?
Our selection is 1X — Haukar to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.11. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Haukar's current form?
Haukar have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kormakur/Hvot been performing recently?
Kormakur/Hvot have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Haukar lead with 2 wins versus Kormakur/Hvot's 0, with 2 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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