LOST Case LOST KUPS 0-0 VPS
Fixture Case File · Ref V
K

KUPS

Home Side
D W W W D
5W 4D 1L → Holding Steady
VS
0-0
V
VPS
Away Side
L W W D W
6W 2D 2L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
85%
Wednesday, 10th June 2026 Case Verdict
Over 1.5
Filing on over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob80%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+5%Value detected
Kelly %25%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBKUPS<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<VPS<<<<<<<<<<<<<<84413B1C84DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 11 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
6
KUPS
1
Draws
3
VPS
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Over 1.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
KUPS
Metric
VPS
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.8
0.8
Goals Against / Game
0.8
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-4-1
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
50%
60%
2.9
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
K0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 9.9%
0-2 8.9%
0-3 5.4%
0-4 2.4%
0-5 0.9%
K1
1-0 6.1%
1-1 10.9%
1-2 9.8%
1-3 5.9%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.0%
K2
2-0 3.3%
2-1 6.0%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.5%
K3
3-0 1.2%
3-1 2.2%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
K4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
K5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.9%) 0-1(9.9%) 1-2(9.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing K=Home goals ↓   V=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
KUPS
Overall
6.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.3
VPS
Overall
6.6
Scoring
9.3
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.01.26LC
KuPS3
VPS1
19.07.25VEI
VPS1
KuPS1
25.05.25VEI
KuPS0
VPS2
01.02.25LC
KuPS2
VPS0
14.09.24VEI
KuPS3
VPS1
22.05.24VEI
VPS1
KuPS3
10.05.24VEI
KuPS2
VPS1
08.02.24LC
KuPS5
VPS0
17.09.23VEI
KuPS0
VPS2
08.07.23VEI
KuPS0
VPS1
Recent Form
KUPS
30.05.26VEI
KuPS1
Inter Turku1
D
26.05.26CUP
JaPS0
KuPS1
W
23.05.26VEI
KuPS2
Lahti1
W
20.05.26VEI
KuPS3
Jaro0
W
16.05.26VEI
Mariehamn1
KuPS1
D
12.05.26CUP
PK-350
KuPS2
W
08.05.26VEI
KuPS0
SJK0
D
02.05.26VEI
AC Oulu2
KuPS0
L
26.04.26VEI
KuPS1
HJK1
D
22.04.26VEI
KuPS3
AC Oulu2
W
VPS
30.05.26VEI
TPS1
VPS0
L
26.05.26CUP
VPS4
Haka0
W
22.05.26VEI
VPS2
HJK1
W
18.05.26VEI
Lahti1
VPS1
D
13.05.26CUP
VPS7
Abo0
W
09.05.26VEI
VPS1
Gnistan1
D
02.05.26VEI
Mariehamn0
VPS1
W
29.04.26CUP
FC Leki1
VPS9
W
24.04.26VEI
VPS3
Ilves2
W
18.04.26VEI
AC Oulu1
VPS0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 10th June 2026, KUPS host VPS in Finland Suomen Cup. Our analysis desk recommends over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

KUPS arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

VPS are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour KUPS, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to VPS's 3, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Finland Suomen Cup game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 1.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.25. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 11 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for KUPS vs VPS?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 85%.
What is KUPS's current form?
KUPS have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has VPS been performing recently?
VPS have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
KUPS lead with 6 wins versus VPS's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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