WON Case WON Belarus W 6-0 Armenia W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
B

Belarus W

Home Side
L W W L W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Trending Down
VS
6-0
A
Armenia W
Away Side
D L L D L
2W 2D 6L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
70%
Tuesday, 9th June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Belarus W to win
Belarus W 60%
Draw 20%
Armenia W 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob88.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-18.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBB<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<<A<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<7220B10E64DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 10 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Belarus W to win
1.13
Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — No70% Belarus W Clean Sheet70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Belarus W vs Armenia W Competition: Euro WCQ Women Date: Tuesday, 9th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Belarus W to win) Odds: 1.13 Confidence: 70% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — No (70%) Also: Belarus W Clean Sheet (70%) Ledger Ref: 7220B10E6
Head to Head
Record
1
Belarus W
0
Draws
0
Armenia W
1
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Belarus W won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Belarus W
Metric
Armenia W
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.4
Goals Against / Game
2
70%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-1-2
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
70%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
B0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 6.7%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 12.6%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 10.7%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.4%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 6.1%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.6%) 2-0(10.7%) 2-1(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing B=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Belarus W Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Armenia W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Belarus W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
8.7
Armenia W
Overall
2.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 47%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.04.26WC
Armenia W0
Belarus3
Recent Form
Belarus W
18.04.26WC
Belarus W0
Kazakhstan W1
L
14.04.26WC
Armenia W0
Belarus W3
W
07.03.26WC
Kazakhstan W0
Belarus W1
W
29.11.25FI
Greece W2
Belarus W0
L
26.11.25FI
Bosnia & Herzegovina W1
Belarus W2
W
28.10.25FI
Malta W0
Belarus W1
W
25.10.25FI
Malta W0
Belarus W2
W
01.07.25FI
Belarus W2
Azerbaijan W0
W
28.06.25FI
Belarus W3
Azerbaijan W0
W
03.06.25UNL
Hungary W0
Belarus W0
D
Armenia W
05.06.26WC
Armenia W1
Kazakhstan W1
D
14.04.26WC
Armenia W0
Belarus W3
L
03.03.26WC
Kazakhstan W3
Armenia W0
L
03.06.25UNL
Liechtenstein W2
Armenia W2
D
30.05.25UNL
Luxembourg W2
Armenia W0
L
08.04.25UNL
Kazakhstan W3
Armenia W2
L
04.04.25UNL
Armenia W1
Luxembourg W3
L
25.02.25UNL
Armenia W2
Kazakhstan W0
W
21.02.25UNL
Armenia W6
Liechtenstein W1
W
01.12.24FI
Moldova W2
Armenia W0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 9th June 2026, Belarus W host Armenia W in Euro WCQ Women. Our analysis desk recommends Belarus W to win as the standout selection.

Belarus W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Armenia W are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Belarus W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Armenia W's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: belarus w to win at odds of 1.13 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Euro WCQ Women game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.13. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 10 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Belarus W vs Armenia W?
Our selection is 1 — Belarus W to win, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Belarus W's current form?
Belarus W have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Armenia W been performing recently?
Armenia W have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Belarus W lead with 1 wins versus Armenia W's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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