WON Case WON Malta W 0-3 Turkey W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
M

Malta W

Home Side
L L L L L
1W 1D 8L ▼ Trending Down
VS
0-3
T
Turkey W
Away Side
W D L W W
7W 2D 1L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
73%
Tuesday, 9th June 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Turkey W to win
Malta W 20%
Draw 20%
Turkey W 60%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds1.67
Implied Prob89.3%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-16.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBM<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<T<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<1E12EEC414DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 10 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
2 — Turkey W to win
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals80% Turkey W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Malta W vs Turkey W Competition: Euro WCQ Women Date: Tuesday, 9th June 2026 Pick: 2 (Turkey W to win) Odds: 1.12 Confidence: 73% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: Turkey W Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: 1E12EEC41
Head to Head
Record
0
Malta W
0
Draws
4
Turkey W
4
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Turkey W won 4 of 4 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Malta W
Metric
Turkey W
0.7
Goals For / Game
1.9
2.9
Goals Against / Game
0.6
10%
Clean Sheets
60%
1-1-8
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate
10%
70%
3.1
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
M0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 11.4%
0-2 13.6%
0-3 10.9%
0-4 6.6%
0-5 3.1%
M1
1-0 3.1%
1-1 7.4%
1-2 8.9%
1-3 7.1%
1-4 4.3%
1-5 2.0%
M2
2-0 1.0%
2-1 2.4%
2-2 2.9%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.7%
M3
3-0 0.2%
3-1 0.5%
3-2 0.6%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
M4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-2(13.6%) 0-1(11.4%) 0-3(10.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing M=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Malta W Win
20%
5
Draw
20%
5
Turkey W Win
60%
1.67
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Malta W
Overall
1.3
Scoring
2.3
Defence
0.3
Turkey W
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
8.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Home Win & BTTS No 7%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 44%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 7%
Home Win & Under 2.5 4%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 44%
Away Win & Under 2.5 29%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.03.26WC
Turkey W3
Malta0
17.01.20FI
Malta W1
Turkey2
11.04.10WC
Turkey W5
Malta1
27.03.10WC
Malta W0
Turkey2
Recent Form
Malta W
05.06.26WC
Switzerland W6
Malta W1
L
18.04.26WC
Malta W2
Northern Ireland W4
L
14.04.26WC
Northern Ireland W4
Malta W0
L
07.03.26WC
Malta W1
Switzerland W4
L
03.03.26WC
Turkey W3
Malta W0
L
01.12.25FI
Malta W0
Croatia W3
L
28.11.25FI
Malta W3
Croatia W2
W
28.10.25FI
Malta W0
Belarus W1
L
25.10.25FI
Malta W0
Belarus W2
L
03.06.25UNL
Andorra W0
Malta W0
D
Turkey W
05.06.26WC
Turkey W2
Northern Ireland W1
W
18.04.26WC
Turkey W1
Switzerland W1
D
14.04.26WC
Switzerland W3
Turkey W1
L
07.03.26WC
Northern Ireland W0
Turkey W1
W
03.03.26WC
Turkey W3
Malta W0
W
01.12.25FI
Turkey W2
Albania W0
W
28.11.25FI
Turkey W1
Albania W1
D
28.10.25UNL
Turkey W3
Kosovo W0
W
24.10.25UNL
Kosovo W0
Turkey W4
W
03.06.25UNL
Greece W0
Turkey W1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 9th June 2026, Malta W host Turkey W in Euro WCQ Women. Our analysis desk recommends Turkey W to win as the standout selection.

Malta W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Turkey W are travelling well, with a record of 7W 2D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Malta W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Turkey W's 4, with 0 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: turkey w to win at odds of 1.12 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Euro WCQ Women game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 2, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.12. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 10 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Malta W vs Turkey W?
Our selection is 2 — Turkey W to win, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Malta W's current form?
Malta W have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches.
How has Turkey W been performing recently?
Turkey W have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Malta W lead with 0 wins versus Turkey W's 4, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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