WON Case WON Norway W 2-1 Austria W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
N

Norway W

Home Side
L W W L W
6W 1D 3L → Holding Steady
VS
2-1
A
Austria W
Away Side
W D L L L
2W 2D 6L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
90%
Tuesday, 9th June 2026 Case Verdict
1X
Filing on Norway W to win or draw
Implied Prob92.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-2.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBN<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<<<A<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<6C75FC6214DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 10 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1X — Norway W to win or draw
1.08
BTTS — No65%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Norway W vs Austria W Competition: Euro WCQ Women Date: Tuesday, 9th June 2026 Pick: 1X (Norway W to win or draw) Odds: 1.08 Confidence: 90% Also: BTTS — No (65%) Ledger Ref: 6C75FC621
Head to Head
Record
5
Norway W
2
Draws
2
Austria W
9
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
44%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Norway W
Metric
Austria W
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.8
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-1-3
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
60%
20%
2.9
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
N0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
N1
1-0 10.2%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
N2
2-0 9.4%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
N3
3-0 5.8%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
N4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.7%) 1-0(10.2%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing N=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Norway W
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.3
Austria W
Overall
2.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 41%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.03.26WC
Austria W0
Norway1
05.12.23UNL
Austria W2
Norway1
22.09.23UNL
Norway W1
Austria1
15.07.22EUR
Austria W1
Norway0
02.06.16EUR
Norway W2
Austria2
10.04.16EUR
Austria W0
Norway1
11.03.09ALG
Austria W0
Norway2
21.06.08EUR
Austria W0
Norway4
21.06.07EUR
Norway W3
Austria0
Recent Form
Norway W
05.06.26WC
Germany W2
Norway W0
L
18.04.26WC
Slovenia W2
Norway W3
W
14.04.26WC
Norway W5
Slovenia W0
W
07.03.26WC
Norway W0
Germany W4
L
03.03.26WC
Austria W0
Norway W1
W
01.12.25FI
Denmark W0
Norway W0
D
28.11.25FI
Norway W3
Brazil W1
W
28.10.25FI
Norway W2
Japan W0
W
16.07.25EUR
Norway W1
Italy W2
L
10.07.25EUR
Norway W4
Iceland W3
W
Austria W
05.06.26WC
Austria W1
Slovenia W0
W
18.04.26WC
Austria W0
Germany W0
D
14.04.26WC
Germany W5
Austria W1
L
07.03.26WC
Slovenia W1
Austria W0
L
03.03.26WC
Austria W0
Norway W1
L
01.12.25FI
Ukraine W3
Austria W2
L
27.11.25FI
Finland W1
Austria W1
D
28.10.25UNL
Austria W2
Czech Republic W0
W
24.10.25UNL
Czech Republic W1
Austria W0
L
03.06.25UNL
Austria W0
Germany W6
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 9th June 2026, Norway W host Austria W in Euro WCQ Women. Our analysis desk recommends Norway W to win or draw as the standout selection.

Norway W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Austria W are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Norway W, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Austria W's 2, with 2 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: norway w to win or draw at odds of 1.08 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Euro WCQ Women game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1X, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.08. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 10 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Norway W vs Austria W?
Our selection is 1X — Norway W to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.08. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Norway W's current form?
Norway W have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Austria W been performing recently?
Austria W have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Norway W lead with 5 wins versus Austria W's 2, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
⚠️
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