WON Case WON Juventude W 1-0 R4 EC W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
J

Juventude W

Home Side
W L W W D
8W 1D 1L ▲ Trending Up
VS
1-0
R
R4 EC W
Away Side
L L L W W
3W 0D 7L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
74%
Saturday, 30th May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Juventude W to win
Juventude W 60%
Draw 20%
R4 EC W 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob84%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-10%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBJ<<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<R4<EC<W<<<<<<<<<<420931C0A4DFB2609212M2609219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 31 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Juventude W to win
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Juventude W vs R4 EC W Competition: Brasileiro A3 Women Date: Saturday, 30th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Juventude W to win) Odds: 1.19 Confidence: 74% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: 420931C0A
Head to Head
Record
1
Juventude W
0
Draws
0
R4 EC W
1
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Juventude W won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Juventude W
Metric
R4 EC W
2.6
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.6
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
8-1-1
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate
80%
30%
3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
J0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
J1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 4.2%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
J2
2-0 11.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
J3
3-0 7.7%
3-1 6.9%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
J4
4-0 4.0%
4-1 3.6%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
J5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(11.0%) 1-0(10.5%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing J=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Juventude W Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
R4 EC W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Juventude W
Overall
8.3
Scoring
8.7
Defence
7.3
R4 EC W
Overall
3.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 46%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.05.26BRA3
R4 EC W1
Juventude2
Recent Form
Juventude W
17.05.26BRA3
R4 EC W1
Juventude W2
W
14.05.26COP
Juventude W2
Vitoria W3
L
02.05.26BRA3
Juventude W5
Guarani de Paripueira W1
W
29.04.26COP
Cresspom W0
Juventude W1
W
25.04.26BRA3
Alagoinhas W1
Juventude W1
D
18.04.26BRA3
Prosperidade W0
Juventude W2
W
04.04.26BRA3
Juventude W3
Prosperidade W0
W
28.03.26BRA3
Juventude W3
Alagoinhas W1
W
22.03.26BRA3
Guarani de Paripueira W0
Juventude W4
W
06.12.25SER
Confianca W1
Juventude W3
W
R4 EC W
17.05.26BRA3
R4 EC W1
Juventude W2
L
02.05.26BRA3
Uniao RN W4
R4 EC W1
L
29.04.26COP
Criciuma W1
R4 EC W0
L
24.04.26BRA3
R4 EC W3
Mixto PB W1
W
17.04.26BRA3
R4 EC W3
Ipojuca W0
W
04.04.26BRA3
Ipojuca W1
R4 EC W0
L
31.03.26BRA3
Mixto PB W3
R4 EC W0
L
21.03.26BRA3
R4 EC W1
Uniao RN W0
W
14.11.25CEA
R4 EC W0
Ceara W2
L
08.11.25CEA
Ceara W2
R4 EC W1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 30th May 2026, Juventude W host R4 EC W in Brasileiro A3 Women. Our analysis desk recommends Juventude W to win as the standout selection.

Juventude W arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

R4 EC W are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 0D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Juventude W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to R4 EC W's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: juventude w to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Brasileiro A3 Women game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.19. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 31 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Juventude W vs R4 EC W?
Our selection is 1 — Juventude W to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is Juventude W's current form?
Juventude W have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has R4 EC W been performing recently?
R4 EC W have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Juventude W lead with 1 wins versus R4 EC W's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.