Fixture Case File · Ref V
T

Toftir

Home Side
L L W D L
3W 2D 5L → Holding Steady
VS
B
B36 Torshavn
Away Side
W W D W L
6W 3D 1L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
58%
Saturday, 30th May 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on B36 Torshavn to win
Toftir 20%
Draw 30%
B36 Torshavn 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob74.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-16.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBT<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<B36<T<<<<<<<<<<<<950C63D8C4DFB2609212M2609219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 30 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
2 — B36 Torshavn to win
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Toftir vs B36 Torshavn Competition: F'Islands Premier League Date: Saturday, 30th May 2026 Pick: 2 (B36 Torshavn to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 58% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: 950C63D8C
Head to Head
Record
1
Toftir
2
Draws
7
B36 Torshavn
10
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing B36 Torshavn won 7 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Toftir
Metric
B36 Torshavn
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.7
2
Goals Against / Game
0.8
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
3-2-5
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate
30%
60%
3.2
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
T0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 7.9%
0-2 7.3%
0-3 4.5%
0-4 2.1%
0-5 0.8%
T1
1-0 5.6%
1-1 10.3%
1-2 9.5%
1-3 5.9%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.0%
T2
2-0 3.6%
2-1 6.7%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 1.8%
2-5 0.7%
T3
3-0 1.6%
3-1 2.9%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
T4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
T5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-2(9.5%) 0-1(7.9%) 0-2(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing T=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Toftir Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
B36 Torshavn Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Toftir
Overall
3.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
3.3
B36 Torshavn
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 31%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
21.03.26PL
B36 Torshavn6
Toftir0
24.08.25PL
B36 Torshavn1
Toftir0
16.05.25PL
Toftir2
B36 Torshavn1
17.04.25PL
B36 Torshavn1
Toftir1
31.08.24PL
B36 Torshavn2
Toftir0
15.06.24PL
B36 Torshavn1
Toftir1
10.03.24PL
Toftir0
B36 Torshavn3
21.08.23PL
B36 Torshavn2
Toftir0
21.05.23PL
Toftir0
B36 Torshavn1
08.04.23PL
B36 Torshavn2
Toftir0
Recent Form
Toftir
26.05.26PL
Toftir0
HB Torshavn1
L
17.05.26PL
Toftir1
Klaksvik4
L
10.05.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
Toftir2
W
03.05.26PL
Toftir1
Streymur1
D
29.04.26CUP
Toftir0
Klaksvik3
L
26.04.26PL
Vikingur2
Toftir2
D
19.04.26PL
Toftir3
HB Torshavn1
W
15.04.26CUP
Toftir7
Midvagur0
W
11.04.26PL
Klaksvik6
Toftir1
L
04.04.26PL
Toftir1
NSI Runavik2
L
B36 Torshavn
25.05.26PL
B36 Torshavn1
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
W
17.05.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag1
B36 Torshavn2
W
09.05.26PL
B36 Torshavn1
Klaksvik1
D
04.05.26PL
B36 Torshavn2
NSI Runavik0
W
29.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn3
B36 Torshavn1
L
26.04.26PL
AB Argir1
B36 Torshavn4
W
20.04.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
B36 Torshavn1
W
15.04.26CUP
FC Suduroy0
B36 Torshavn3
W
11.04.26PL
B36 Torshavn0
Skala Itrottarfelag0
D
06.04.26PL
HB Torshavn2
B36 Torshavn2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 30th May 2026, Toftir host B36 Torshavn in F'Islands Premier League. Our analysis desk recommends B36 Torshavn to win as the standout selection.

Toftir arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

B36 Torshavn are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Toftir, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to B36 Torshavn's 7, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: b36 torshavn to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This F’Islands Premier League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 2, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.34. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 30 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Toftir vs B36 Torshavn?
Our selection is 2 — B36 Torshavn to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Toftir's current form?
Toftir have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has B36 Torshavn been performing recently?
B36 Torshavn have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Toftir lead with 1 wins versus B36 Torshavn's 7, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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