LOST Case LOST Al Tadamon 0-1 Al Qadisiya
Fixture Case File · Ref V
A

Al Tadamon

Home Side
D W W W L
4W 1D 5L ▲ Trending Up
VS
0-1
A
Al Qadisiya
Away Side
W L W L W
7W 1D 2L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
87%
Monday, 25th May 2026 Case Verdict
Over 1.5
Filing on over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob84.7%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+2.3%Value detected
Kelly %14.8%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBA<<T<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<A<<Q<<<<<<<<<<<<<CBA30BCD84DFB2609102M2609109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 26 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Al Tadamon vs Al Qadisiya Competition: Kuwait Premier League Date: Monday, 25th May 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.18 Confidence: 87% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: CBA30BCD8
Head to Head
Record
0
Al Tadamon
0
Draws
10
Al Qadisiya
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Over 1.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Tadamon
Metric
Al Qadisiya
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.7
2.2
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-1-5
W — D — L
7-1-2
Win Rate
40%
70%
3.2
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 8.0%
0-2 7.8%
0-3 5.0%
0-4 2.5%
0-5 1.0%
A1
1-0 5.1%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 9.7%
1-3 6.3%
1-4 3.1%
1-5 1.2%
A2
2-0 3.2%
2-1 6.2%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 3.9%
2-4 1.9%
2-5 0.8%
A3
3-0 1.3%
3-1 2.6%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
A4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(9.9%) 1-2(9.7%) 0-1(8.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Tadamon
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
2.7
Al Qadisiya
Overall
7.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Away Win & BTTS No 24%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 27%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.10.25PL
Al Qadisiya3
Al Tadamon0
20.04.25PL
Al Tadamon1
Al Qadisiya5
14.02.25PL
Al Tadamon0
Al Qadisiya3
28.09.24PL
Al Qadisiya3
Al Tadamon1
03.03.23PL
Al Tadamon0
Al Qadisiya5
03.11.22PL
Al Qadisiya2
Al Tadamon1
08.03.22PL
Al Tadamon1
Al Qadisiya3
10.12.21PL
Al Qadisiya3
Al Tadamon2
11.09.21EMI
Al Qadisiya1
Al Tadamon0
08.01.21CRO
Al Qadisiya2
Al Tadamon0
Recent Form
Al Tadamon
21.05.26PL
Al Arabi1
Al Tadamon1
D
24.02.26PL
Al Tadamon4
Al Jahra1
W
17.02.26PL
Al Tadamon1
Kazma SC0
W
13.02.26EMI
Al Tadamon1
Al Jahra0
W
05.02.26PL
Al Tadamon1
Al Naser3
L
23.01.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Tadamon1
L
10.01.26CRO
Al Tadamon0
Al Naser4
L
06.01.26CRO
Al Salmiya1
Al Tadamon2
W
02.01.26PL
Al Kuwait7
Al Tadamon1
L
28.12.25PL
Al Tadamon1
Al Arabi2
L
Al Qadisiya
15.05.26PL
Al Qadisiya2
Al Salmiya1
W
19.04.26GCC
Al Rayyan2
Al Qadisiya0
L
27.02.26EMI
Al Qadisiya2
Burgan0
W
23.02.26PL
Kazma SC4
Al Qadisiya2
L
18.02.26GCC
Al Ain0
Al Qadisiya1
W
10.02.26GCC
Al Qadisiya1
Zakho0
W
06.02.26PL
Al Qadisiya1
Al Kuwait1
D
01.02.26SC
Al Kuwait1
Al Qadisiya2
W
28.01.26SC
Al Arabi3
Al Qadisiya4
W
23.01.26PL
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Qadisiya2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 25th May 2026, Al Tadamon host Al Qadisiya in Kuwait Premier League. Our analysis desk recommends over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Al Tadamon arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Qadisiya are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Tadamon, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Al Qadisiya's 10, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Kuwait Premier League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 1.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.18. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 26 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Tadamon vs Al Qadisiya?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 87%.
What is Al Tadamon's current form?
Al Tadamon have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Qadisiya been performing recently?
Al Qadisiya have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Tadamon lead with 0 wins versus Al Qadisiya's 10, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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