WON Case WON Eidsvold TF 4-1 Rana FK
Fixture Case File · Ref V
E

Eidsvold TF

Home Side
W W W W W
7W 2D 1L ▲ Trending Up
VS
4-1
R
Rana FK
Away Side
L W D L L
3W 1D 6L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
57%
Monday, 25th May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Eidsvold TF to win
Eidsvold TF 50%
Draw 30%
Rana FK 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob75.8%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-18.8%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBE<<<<<<<<TF<<<<<<<<<<<R<<<<FK<<<<<<<<<<DB31FEFD84DFB2609102M2609109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 26 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Eidsvold TF to win
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Eidsvold TF vs Rana FK Competition: Norway Div 2 G2 Date: Monday, 25th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Eidsvold TF to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 57% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Ledger Ref: DB31FEFD8
Head to Head
Record
1
Eidsvold TF
0
Draws
1
Rana FK
2
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Neutral Eidsvold TF won 1 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Eidsvold TF
Metric
Rana FK
2
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.9
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-2-1
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
70%
30%
3.1
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
E0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
E1
1-0 9.2%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
E2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.5%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
E3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
E4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
E5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(9.2%) 2-0(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing E=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Eidsvold TF Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Rana FK Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Eidsvold TF
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.3
Rana FK
Overall
3.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 43%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.08.25DIV
Eidsvold TF1
Rana FK4
15.06.25DIV
Rana FK1
Eidsvold TF2
Recent Form
Eidsvold TF
15.05.26DIV
Ull/Kisa2
Eidsvold TF5
W
09.05.26DIV
Eidsvold TF4
Follo1
W
02.05.26DIV
Skeid1
Eidsvold TF2
W
25.04.26DIV
Junkeren0
Eidsvold TF1
W
19.04.26DIV
Eidsvold TF3
Stjordals Blink0
W
11.04.26DIV
Grorud0
Eidsvold TF0
D
06.04.26DIV
Eidsvold TF0
Lorenskog0
D
28.03.26CF
Eidsvold TF1
Ull/Kisa2
L
14.03.26OBS
Eidsvold TF1
Skeid0
W
07.03.26OBS
Eidsvold TF3
Baerum Sportsklubb2
W
Rana FK
16.05.26DIV
Rana FK1
Junkeren2
L
10.05.26DIV
Lorenskog1
Rana FK2
W
02.05.26DIV
Rana FK0
Grorud0
D
25.04.26DIV
Tromsdalen2
Rana FK1
L
19.04.26DIV
Rana FK2
Levanger3
L
12.04.26DIV
Honefoss2
Rana FK1
L
06.04.26DIV
Rana FK1
Trygg/Lade0
W
14.03.26CF
Stjordals Blink3
Rana FK2
L
15.02.26CF
Levanger4
Rana FK1
L
14.02.26CF
Trygg/Lade2
Rana FK3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 25th May 2026, Eidsvold TF host Rana FK in Norway Div 2 G2. Our analysis desk recommends Eidsvold TF to win as the standout selection.

Eidsvold TF arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Rana FK are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Eidsvold TF, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Rana FK's 1, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: eidsvold tf to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Norway Div 2 G2 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.32. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 26 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Eidsvold TF vs Rana FK?
Our selection is 1 — Eidsvold TF to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Eidsvold TF's current form?
Eidsvold TF have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rana FK been performing recently?
Rana FK have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Eidsvold TF lead with 1 wins versus Rana FK's 1, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.