WON Case WON Bodo/Glimt 3-1 Brann
Fixture Case File · Ref V
B

Bodo/Glimt

Home Side
W W W L W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Trending Down
VS
3-1
B
Brann
Away Side
L W L W W
5W 1D 4L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
59%
Sunday, 24th May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Bodo/Glimt to win
Bodo/Glimt 50%
Draw 30%
Brann 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob75.8%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-16.8%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBB<<<<G<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<B<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<01E923C044DFB2609102M2609109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 25 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Bodo/Glimt to win
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Bodo/Glimt vs Brann Competition: Norway Eliteserien Date: Sunday, 24th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Bodo/Glimt to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 59% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ledger Ref: 01E923C04
Head to Head
Record
6
Bodo/Glimt
2
Draws
2
Brann
10
Meetings
4.6
Avg Goals
90%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Bodo/Glimt won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Bodo/Glimt
Metric
Brann
2.6
Goals For / Game
2.4
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.5
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-1-2
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
70%
50%
3.9
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
B0
0-0 2.1%
0-1 3.8%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
B1
1-0 4.4%
1-1 7.9%
1-2 7.1%
1-3 4.2%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.7%
B2
2-0 4.5%
2-1 8.1%
2-2 7.2%
2-3 4.4%
2-4 2.0%
2-5 0.7%
B3
3-0 3.1%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 5.0%
3-3 3.0%
3-4 1.3%
3-5 0.5%
B4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 2.5%
4-3 1.5%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.3%
B5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(8.1%) 3-1(5.5%) 3-2(5.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing B=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Bodo/Glimt Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Brann Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Bodo/Glimt
Overall
7.3
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.0
Brann
Overall
5.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
09.05.26NMC
Bodo/Glimt4
Brann3
29.10.25ELI
Brann1
Bodo/Glimt2
21.06.25ELI
Bodo/Glimt3
Brann0
22.09.24ELI
Brann4
Bodo/Glimt1
07.07.24ELI
Bodo/Glimt5
Brann1
26.11.23ELI
Brann4
Bodo/Glimt2
29.04.23ELI
Bodo/Glimt2
Brann2
05.12.21ELI
Bodo/Glimt2
Brann2
24.05.21ELI
Brann1
Bodo/Glimt2
25.04.21CF
Bodo/Glimt4
Brann1
Recent Form
Bodo/Glimt
20.05.26ELI
Start1
Bodo/Glimt4
W
16.05.26ELI
Bodo/Glimt5
Tromso0
W
09.05.26NMC
Bodo/Glimt4
Brann3
W
04.05.26ELI
Bodo/Glimt0
Molde1
L
30.04.26ELI
Bodo/Glimt5
Start0
W
26.04.26ELI
Lillestrom0
Bodo/Glimt2
W
22.04.26NMC
Bodo/Glimt2
KFUM Oslo1
W
18.04.26ELI
Bodo/Glimt3
Aalesund0
W
15.04.26ELI
Sarpsborg 081
Bodo/Glimt1
D
11.04.26ELI
Viking5
Bodo/Glimt0
L
Brann
20.05.26ELI
Aalesund2
Brann1
L
16.05.26ELI
Brann2
KFUM Oslo1
W
09.05.26NMC
Bodo/Glimt4
Brann3
L
02.05.26ELI
Brann3
Fredrikstad1
W
29.04.26ELI
Tromso0
Brann5
W
25.04.26ELI
Rosenborg1
Brann1
D
22.04.26NMC
Brann2
Aalesund1
W
18.04.26ELI
Viking3
Brann2
L
12.04.26ELI
Brann0
Sandefjord1
L
06.04.26ELI
HamKam1
Brann5
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Sunday, 24th May 2026, Bodo/Glimt host Brann in Norway Eliteserien. Our analysis desk recommends Bodo/Glimt to win as the standout selection.

Bodo/Glimt arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Brann are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Bodo/Glimt, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Brann's 2, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 90% of those meetings.

Our verdict: bodo/glimt to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Norway Eliteserien game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.32. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 25 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Bodo/Glimt vs Brann?
Our selection is 1 — Bodo/Glimt to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Bodo/Glimt's current form?
Bodo/Glimt have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Brann been performing recently?
Brann have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bodo/Glimt lead with 6 wins versus Brann's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 90%.
⚠️
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