WON Case WON Werder Bremen W 0-2 Bayern Munich W
Fixture Case File ยท Ref V โšฝ
W

Werder Bremen W

Home Side
D D W L W
2W 6D 2L โ–ผ Trending Down
VS
0-2
B
Bayern Munich W
Away Side
D W W W W
9W 1D 0L โ†’ Holding Steady
โš‘
CASE VERIFIED
68%
Wednesday, 29th April 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Bayern Munich W to win
Werder Bremen W 20%
Draw 30%
Bayern Munich W 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob73.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-5.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBW<<<<<<B<<<<<<W<<<<<<<B<<<<<<M<<<<<<W<<53AEEAEAF4DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst ยท Last checked 29 Apr 2026
โœ“ Data-Audited โœ“ Independently Checked
โšก
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
2 โ€” Bayern Munich W to win
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals85%
๐Ÿ“‹ Case Slip / Combo Builder
Werder Bremen W vs Bayern Munich W Competition: Bundesliga Women Date: Wednesday, 29th April 2026 Pick: 2 (Bayern Munich W to win) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 68% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ledger Ref: 53AEEAEAF
โš”
Head to Head
Record
0
Werder Bremen W
0
Draws
10
Bayern Munich W
10
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
10%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Bayern Munich W won 10 of 10 meetings.
๐Ÿ“Š
Stats Duel
Comparison
Werder Bremen W
Metric
Bayern Munich W
1.3
Goals For / Game
3
1.4
Goals Against / Game
0.7
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
2-6-2
W โ€” D โ€” L
9-1-0
Win Rate
20%
90%
3.2
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
๐ŸŽฏ
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
W0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 9.0%
0-2 9.9%
0-3 7.2%
0-4 4.0%
0-5 1.8%
W1
1-0 4.1%
1-1 9.0%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 7.2%
1-4 4.0%
1-5 1.8%
W2
2-0 2.0%
2-1 4.5%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 3.6%
2-4 2.0%
2-5 0.9%
W3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 1.5%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.3%
W4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
W5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-2(9.9%) 1-2(9.9%) 0-1(9.0%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts filing W=Home goals โ†“   B=Away โ†’
๐Ÿ“‰
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Werder Bremen W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Bayern Munich W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Team Ratings
Grades
Werder Bremen W
Overall
3.8 โ–ผ
Scoring
4.3 โ–ผ
Defence
5.3 โ–ผ
Bayern Munich W
Overall
9.3 โ–ฒ
Scoring
10.0 โ–ฒ
Defence
7.7 โ–ฒ
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 6%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 8%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 37%
Away Win & Under 2.5 25%
๐Ÿงฎ
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”Ž How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter โ€” a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee โ€” it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

๐Ÿ“ Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds โ€” no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status โ€” nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
๐Ÿ“œ
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.10.25BUN
Bayern Munich W4
Werder Bremen0
01.05.25POK
Bayern Munich W4
Werder Bremen2
16.02.25BUN
Bayern Munich W1
Werder Bremen0
29.09.24BUN
Werder Bremen W0
Bayern Munich4
22.04.24BUN
Bayern Munich W3
Werder Bremen0
19.11.23BUN
Werder Bremen W0
Bayern Munich2
05.03.23BUN
Werder Bremen W0
Bayern Munich2
25.09.22BUN
Bayern Munich W3
Werder Bremen0
19.12.21BUN
Werder Bremen W0
Bayern Munich2
29.08.21BUN
Bayern Munich W8
Werder Bremen0
Recent Form
Werder Bremen W
25.04.26BUN
RB Leipzig W1
Werder Bremen W1
D
22.04.26BUN
Werder Bremen W0
Wolfsburg W0
D
29.03.26BUN
Werder Bremen W2
SGS Essen W1
W
23.03.26BUN
Union Berlin W4
Werder Bremen W1
L
14.03.26BUN
Werder Bremen W4
Eintracht Frankfurt W2
W
11.03.26POK
SGS Essen W1
Werder Bremen W0
L
21.02.26BUN
Hamburger SV W1
Werder Bremen W1
D
01.02.26BUN
Hoffenheim W0
Werder Bremen W0
D
25.01.26BUN
Werder Bremen W1
1.FC Nurnberg W1
D
10.01.26CF
AZ Alkmaar W3
Werder Bremen W3
D
Bayern Munich W
25.04.26CL
Bayern Munich W1
Barcelona W1
D
22.04.26BUN
Union Berlin W2
Bayern Munich W3
W
06.04.26POK
Bayern Munich W4
SGS Essen W0
W
01.04.26CL
Bayern Munich W2
Manchester Utd W1
W
28.03.26BUN
Bayern Munich W2
1.FC Nurnberg W0
W
25.03.26CL
Manchester Utd W2
Bayern Munich W3
W
20.03.26BUN
SGS Essen W0
Bayern Munich W5
W
15.03.26BUN
Koln W0
Bayern Munich W3
W
11.03.26POK
Hamburger SV W0
Bayern Munich W3
W
22.02.26BUN
Bayern Munich W4
Wolfsburg W1
W
๐Ÿ“
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 29th April 2026, Werder Bremen W host Bayern Munich W in Bundesliga Women. Our analysis desk recommends Bayern Munich W to win as the standout selection.

Werder Bremen W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Bayern Munich W are travelling well, with a record of 9W 1D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Werder Bremen W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Bayern Munich W's 10, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 10% of those meetings.

Our verdict: bayern munich w to win at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Bundesliga Women game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 2, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.36. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 29 Apr 2026
โ“
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Werder Bremen W vs Bayern Munich W?
Our selection is 2 โ€” Bayern Munich W to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Werder Bremen W's current form?
Werder Bremen W have won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bayern Munich W been performing recently?
Bayern Munich W have recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Werder Bremen W lead with 0 wins versus Bayern Munich W's 10, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 10%.
โš ๏ธ
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.