WON Case WON Shandong Taishan B 2-1 Shanghai Second
Fixture Case File · Ref V
S

Shandong Taishan B

Home Side
W W W W L
6W 2D 2L → Holding Steady
VS
2-1
S
Shanghai Second
Away Side
D W L D L
2W 2D 2L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
54%
Wednesday, 29th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Shandong Taishan B to win
Shandong Taishan B 50%
Draw 30%
Shanghai Second 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob69.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-15.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBS<<<<<<<<T<<<<<<<B<<<<S<<<<<<<<S<<<<<<<6F42152E24DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 29 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Shandong Taishan B to win
1.43
Shandong Taishan B Clean Sheet70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Shandong Taishan B vs Shanghai Second Competition: China League Two Date: Wednesday, 29th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Shandong Taishan B to win) Odds: 1.43 Confidence: 54% Also: Shandong Taishan B Clean Sheet (70%) Ledger Ref: 6F42152E2
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Shandong Taishan B
Metric
Shanghai Second
1.6
Goals For / Game
2
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.5
70%
Clean Sheets
17%
6-2-2
W — D — L
2-2-2
Win Rate
60%
33%
2.6
Avg Goals
56%
Over 1.5
44%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 7.6%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
S1
1-0 9.4%
1-1 11.8%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 3.1%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.2%
S2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.4%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
S3
3-0 3.8%
3-1 4.7%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 1.8%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(9.4%) 2-1(9.1%) 2-0(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing S=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Shandong Taishan B Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Shanghai Second Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Shandong Taishan B
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
8.3
Shanghai Second
Overall
4.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Shandong Taishan B
24.04.26L2
Shandong Taishan B1
Qingdao Red Lions0
W
15.04.26L2
Lanzhou Longyuan0
Shandong Taishan B3
W
11.04.26L2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai0
Shandong Taishan B1
W
05.04.26L2
Shandong Taishan B4
Beijing Technology1
W
21.03.26L2
Shandong Taishan B1
Taian Tiankuang3
L
26.10.25L2
Shandong Taishan B5
Shenzhen0
W
19.10.25L2
Guizhou Guiyang1
Shandong Taishan B0
L
05.10.25L2
Shandong Taishan B0
Guangxi Hengchen0
D
27.09.25L2
Chengdu Rongcheng B0
Shandong Taishan B0
D
21.09.25L2
Shenzhen0
Shandong Taishan B1
W
Shanghai Second
24.04.26L2
Shanghai Second1
Dalian Kewei1
D
19.04.26FAC
Shanghai Second1
Guangdong Mingtu0
W
15.04.26L2
Shanghai Second0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2
L
11.04.26L2
Qingdao Red Lions2
Shanghai Second2
D
04.04.26L2
Dalian Yingbo B3
Shanghai Second2
L
22.03.26L2
Shanghai Second1
Shanghai Port B6
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 29th April 2026, Shandong Taishan B host Shanghai Second in China League Two. Our analysis desk recommends Shandong Taishan B to win as the standout selection.

Shandong Taishan B arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Shanghai Second are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 2L across 6 matches.

Our verdict: shandong taishan b to win at odds of 1.43 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This China League Two game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.43. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 29 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shandong Taishan B vs Shanghai Second?
Our selection is 1 — Shandong Taishan B to win, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Shandong Taishan B's current form?
Shandong Taishan B have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shanghai Second been performing recently?
Shanghai Second have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 6 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game.
⚠️
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