WON Case WON Volkermarkt 2-2 SV Spittal
Fixture Case File · Ref V
V

Volkermarkt

Home Side
W W W L W
6W 0D 4L ▼ Trending Down
VS
2-2
S
SV Spittal
Away Side
L L W W W
4W 1D 5L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
90%
Wednesday, 29th April 2026 Case Verdict
1X
Filing on Volkermarkt to win or draw
Implied Prob92.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-2.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBV<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<SV<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<BA5C16BC64DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 29 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1X — Volkermarkt to win or draw
1.08
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Volkermarkt vs SV Spittal Competition: Austria Karnten Date: Wednesday, 29th April 2026 Pick: 1X (Volkermarkt to win or draw) Odds: 1.08 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ledger Ref: BA5C16BC6
Head to Head
Record
4
Volkermarkt
0
Draws
4
SV Spittal
8
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
63%
BTTS
88%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Volkermarkt
Metric
SV Spittal
2.5
Goals For / Game
1
2.3
Goals Against / Game
1.4
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-0-4
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
60%
40%
3.6
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
V0
0-0 2.7%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.3%
V1
1-0 5.3%
1-1 8.8%
1-2 7.3%
1-3 4.0%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.5%
V2
2-0 5.2%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 7.1%
2-3 3.9%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.5%
V3
3-0 3.4%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 4.6%
3-3 2.5%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.3%
V4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
V5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-1(8.8%) 2-1(8.6%) 2-2(7.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing V=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Volkermarkt
Overall
6.0
Scoring
8.3
Defence
2.3
SV Spittal
Overall
4.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 46%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 30%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.09.254L
SV Spittal1
Volkermarkt3
17.04.254L
Volkermarkt3
SV Spittal1
06.09.244L
SV Spittal3
Volkermarkt1
05.04.244L
SV Spittal3
Volkermarkt0
14.08.234L
Volkermarkt1
SV Spittal0
12.11.224L
SV Spittal7
Volkermarkt0
22.07.224L
Volkermarkt2
SV Spittal1
27.09.194L
SV Spittal2
Volkermarkt1
Recent Form
Volkermarkt
24.04.264L
Volkermarkt4
Atus Ferlach0
W
18.04.264L
Matrei2
Volkermarkt4
W
10.04.264L
Volkermarkt4
ATSV Wolfsberger2
W
02.04.264L
KAC 19092
Volkermarkt1
L
27.03.264L
Volkermarkt3
Lendorf1
W
21.03.264L
SAK Klagenfurt3
Volkermarkt0
L
13.02.26CF
Volkermarkt2
Atus Velden1
W
06.02.26CF
Wolfsberger AC (Am)4
Volkermarkt0
L
21.01.26CF
Volkermarkt3
A. Klagenfurt (Am)5
L
07.11.254L
Volkermarkt4
A. Klagenfurt (Am)3
W
SV Spittal
24.04.264L
SV Spittal1
SC St. Veit3
L
17.04.264L
Atus Ferlach2
SV Spittal1
L
10.04.264L
SV Spittal2
TSV Grafenstein1
W
04.04.264L
Matrei0
SV Spittal1
W
28.03.264L
SV Spittal1
Nussdorf0
W
20.03.264L
ATSV Wolfsberger2
SV Spittal0
L
08.02.26CF
SV Spittal1
Saalfelden2
L
08.11.254L
SV Spittal0
Bleiburg0
D
02.11.254L
KAC 19091
SV Spittal2
W
26.10.254L
SV Spittal1
Donau Klagenfurt3
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 29th April 2026, Volkermarkt host SV Spittal in Austria Karnten. Our analysis desk recommends Volkermarkt to win or draw as the standout selection.

Volkermarkt arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

SV Spittal are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Volkermarkt, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to SV Spittal's 4, with 0 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 63% of those meetings.

Our verdict: volkermarkt to win or draw at odds of 1.08 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Austria Karnten game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1X, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.08. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 29 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Volkermarkt vs SV Spittal?
Our selection is 1X — Volkermarkt to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.08. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Volkermarkt's current form?
Volkermarkt have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has SV Spittal been performing recently?
SV Spittal have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Volkermarkt lead with 4 wins versus SV Spittal's 4, with 0 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 63%.
⚠️
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