WON Case WON CS Sfaxien 3-0 JS Kairouan
Fixture Case File · Ref V
C

CS Sfaxien

Home Side
W W W W D
8W 1D 1L ▲ Trending Up
VS
3-0
J
JS Kairouan
Away Side
L L L D W
2W 2D 6L ▼ Trending Down
CASE VERIFIED
71%
Sunday, 5th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on CS Sfaxien to win
CS Sfaxien 60%
Draw 20%
JS Kairouan 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob87.7%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-16.7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBCS<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<JS<K<<<<<<<<<<<<<7294647624DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 5 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — CS Sfaxien to win
1.14
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No70% CS Sfaxien Clean Sheet70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
CS Sfaxien vs JS Kairouan Competition: Tunisian League Date: Sunday, 5th April 2026 Pick: 1 (CS Sfaxien to win) Odds: 1.14 Confidence: 71% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: BTTS — No (70%) Also: CS Sfaxien Clean Sheet (70%) Ledger Ref: 729464762
Head to Head
Record
8
CS Sfaxien
1
Draws
1
JS Kairouan
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing CS Sfaxien won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
CS Sfaxien
Metric
JS Kairouan
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.3
Goals Against / Game
1
70%
Clean Sheets
20%
8-1-1
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
80%
20%
1.7
Avg Goals
45%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
C0
0-0 18.3%
0-1 8.2%
0-2 1.9%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 22.8%
1-1 10.3%
1-2 2.3%
1-3 0.4%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
C2
2-0 14.3%
2-1 6.4%
2-2 1.5%
2-3 0.2%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 6.0%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 0.6%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(22.8%) 2-0(14.3%) 2-1(6.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓   J=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
CS Sfaxien Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
JS Kairouan Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
CS Sfaxien
Overall
8.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
9.0
JS Kairouan
Overall
2.6
Scoring
2.0
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 49%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 53%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 4%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.03.26
Tunisian Cup: JS Kairouan0
CS Sfaxien (AET)1
05.10.25
Ligue 1: JS Kairouan0
CS Sfaxien3
09.05.21
Ligue 1: CS Sfaxien2
JS Kairouan0
03.02.21
Ligue 1: JS Kairouan0
CS Sfaxien4
23.02.20
Ligue 1: CS Sfaxien2
JS Kairouan1
24.09.19
Ligue 1: JS Kairouan2
CS Sfaxien3
26.05.19
Ligue 1: JS Kairouan1
CS Sfaxien1
08.12.18
Ligue 1: CS Sfaxien1
JS Kairouan0
28.01.18
Ligue 1: JS Kairouan2
CS Sfaxien1
25.08.17
Ligue 1: CS Sfaxien4
JS Kairouan0
Recent Form
CS Sfaxien
22.03.26
Tunisian Cup: JS Kairouan0
CS Sfaxien (AET)1
W
07.03.26
Ligue 1: US Monastir0
CS Sfaxien1
W
01.03.26
Ligue 1: CS Sfaxien1
AS Gabès0
W
15.02.26
Ligue 1: US Ben Guerdane0
CS Sfaxien1
W
08.02.26
Ligue 1: CS Sfaxien1
Club Africain1
D
01.02.26
Ligue 1: JS El Omrane1
CS Sfaxien0
L
27.01.26
Ligue 1: CS Sfaxien2
ES Métlaoui0
W
21.01.26
Ligue 1: CS Sfaxien4
CA Bizertin0
W
16.01.26
Ligue 1: ES Zarzis0
CS Sfaxien2
W
30.12.25
Friendly: CS Sfaxien2
OC Kerkennah1
W
JS Kairouan
22.03.26
Tunisian Cup: JS Kairouan0
CS Sfaxien (AET)1
L
08.03.26
LP1: JS Kairouan1
CA Bizertin2
L
27.02.26
LP1: ES Zarzis1
JS Kairouan1
D
13.02.26
LP1: JS Kairouan1
Étoile du Sahel2
L
07.02.26
LP1: AS Marsa1
JS Kairouan2
W
31.01.26
LP1: JS Kairouan1
Olympique Béja0
W
27.01.26
LP1: Espérance de Tunis1
JS Kairouan0
L
20.01.26
LP1: JS Kairouan0
Stade Tunisien1
L
15.01.26
LP1: AS Soliman0
JS Kairouan0
D
22.11.25
LP1: JS Kairouan0
ES Métlaoui1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Sunday, 5th April 2026, CS Sfaxien host JS Kairouan in Tunisian League. Our analysis desk recommends CS Sfaxien to win as the standout selection.

CS Sfaxien arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

JS Kairouan are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour CS Sfaxien, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to JS Kairouan's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cs sfaxien to win at odds of 1.14 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Tunisian League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.14. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 5 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for CS Sfaxien vs JS Kairouan?
Our selection is 1 — CS Sfaxien to win, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 71%.
What is CS Sfaxien's current form?
CS Sfaxien have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has JS Kairouan been performing recently?
JS Kairouan have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
CS Sfaxien lead with 8 wins versus JS Kairouan's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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