WON Case WON CR Belouizdad 7-0 Mostaganem
Fixture Case File · Ref V
C

CR Belouizdad

Home Side
W L D W D
5W 4D 1L ▼ Trending Down
VS
7-0
M
Mostaganem
Away Side
W L L L D
2W 2D 6L ▲ Trending Up
MODERATE
62%
Sunday, 5th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on CR Belouizdad to win
CR Belouizdad 60%
Draw 20%
Mostaganem 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob83.3%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-21.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBCR<B<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<M<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<910F97F184DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 5 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
4
CR Belouizdad
1
Draws
0
Mostaganem
5
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing CR Belouizdad won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
CR Belouizdad
Metric
Mostaganem
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.7
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.8
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-4-1
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.3
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
C0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 7.0%
0-2 2.5%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 16.0%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 3.9%
1-3 0.9%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
C2
2-0 12.8%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 3.1%
2-3 0.7%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 6.8%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(16.0%) 2-0(12.8%) 2-1(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
CR Belouizdad Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Mostaganem Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
CR Belouizdad
Overall
6.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.7
Mostaganem
Overall
2.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.11.25
Ligue 1: ES Mostaganem0
CR Belouizdad2
19.04.25
Ligue 1: CR Belouizdad3
ES Mostaganem2
09.11.24
Ligue 1: ES Mostaganem0
CR Belouizdad2
12.04.24
Cup: CR Belouizdad3
(4-2 Pen) ES Mostaganem3
30.12.11
Cup: CR Belouizdad2
ES Mostaganem0
Recent Form
CR Belouizdad
01.04.26
DIV: Paradou AC0
CR Belouizdad3
W
25.03.26
DIV: CR Belouizdad0
MC Alger1
L
21.03.26
CON: CR Belouizdad0
Al Masry SC0
D
18.03.26
DIV: CR Belouizdad2
ASO Chlef1
W
14.03.26
CON: Al Masry SC1
CR Belouizdad1
D
07.03.26
DIV: CR Belouizdad3
MB Rouisset1
W
03.03.26
CUP: CR Belouizdad3
(AET) MC Alger2
W
26.02.26
DIV: CS Constantine0
CR Belouizdad0
D
20.02.26
DIV: CR Belouizdad0
El Bayadh0
D
15.02.26
CON: CR Belouizdad2
AS Otoho1
W
Mostaganem
17.03.26
DIV: ES Mostaganem3
Paradou AC2
W
13.03.26
DIV: ASO Chlef1
ES Mostaganem0
L
07.03.26
DIV: ES Mostaganem0
MC Alger5
L
28.02.26
DIV: ES Sétif3
ES Mostaganem0
L
21.02.26
DIV: ES Mostaganem2
JS Kabylie2
D
14.02.26
DIV: MB Rouisset1
ES Mostaganem0
L
07.02.26
DIV: ES Mostaganem0
MC Oran0
D
03.02.26
DIV: CS Constantine2
ES Mostaganem1
L
23.01.26
DIV: ES Mostaganem1
Olympique Akbou0
W
15.01.26
CUP: ES Mostaganem0
JS Saoura2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Sunday, 5th April 2026, CR Belouizdad host Mostaganem in Algeria Ligue 1. Our analysis desk recommends CR Belouizdad to win as the standout selection.

CR Belouizdad arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Mostaganem are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour CR Belouizdad, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Mostaganem's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cr belouizdad to win at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Algeria Ligue 1 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.20. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 5 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for CR Belouizdad vs Mostaganem?
Our selection is 1 — CR Belouizdad to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is CR Belouizdad's current form?
CR Belouizdad have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mostaganem been performing recently?
Mostaganem have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
CR Belouizdad lead with 4 wins versus Mostaganem's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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