LOST Case LOST Dobrudzha 2-2 Levski Sofia
Fixture Case File · Ref V
D

Dobrudzha

Home Side
L L W L W
5W 1D 4L → Holding Steady
VS
2-2
L
Levski Sofia
Away Side
W W W L W
6W 0D 4L ▼ Trending Down
CASE VERIFIED
66%
Sunday, 5th April 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Levski Sofia to win
Dobrudzha 30%
Draw 20%
Levski Sofia 50%
H Fair Odds3.33
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob69.4%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-3.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBD<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<L<<<<<<S<<<<<<<<<C52B26CCF4DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 5 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
2 — Levski Sofia to win
1.44
BTTS — No65%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Dobrudzha vs Levski Sofia Competition: Bulgaria EFBET League Date: Sunday, 5th April 2026 Pick: 2 (Levski Sofia to win) Odds: 1.44 Confidence: 66% Also: BTTS — No (65%) Ledger Ref: C52B26CCF
Head to Head
Record
0
Dobrudzha
0
Draws
8
Levski Sofia
8
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
25%
BTTS
63%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Levski Sofia won 8 of 8 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Dobrudzha
Metric
Levski Sofia
1
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-1-4
W — D — L
6-0-4
Win Rate
50%
60%
2.4
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
D0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 12.9%
0-2 8.7%
0-3 3.9%
0-4 1.3%
0-5 0.4%
D1
1-0 9.5%
1-1 12.9%
1-2 8.7%
1-3 3.9%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
D2
2-0 4.8%
2-1 6.4%
2-2 4.4%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
D3
3-0 1.6%
3-1 2.2%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(12.9%) 0-2(8.7%) 1-2(8.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing D=Home goals ↓   L=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Dobrudzha Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
Levski Sofia Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Dobrudzha
Overall
5.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.3
Levski Sofia
Overall
6.0
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 34%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 24%
Away Win & Under 2.5 29%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.10.25
Parva Liga: Levski Sofia3
Dobrudzha0
27.01.25
Friendly: Levski Sofia2
Dobrudzha1
24.05.03
Parva Liga: Levski Sofia5
Dobrudzha0
08.11.02
Parva Liga: Dobrudzha0
Levski Sofia5
27.05.00
Parva Liga: Levski Sofia2
Dobrudzha1
20.11.99
Parva Liga: Dobrudzha0
Levski Sofia1
10.04.99
Parva Liga: Levski Sofia2
Dobrudzha0
26.09.98
Parva Liga: Dobrudzha0
Levski Sofia1
Recent Form
Dobrudzha
22.03.26
1L: CSKA Sofia2
FC Dobrudzha0
L
16.03.26
1L: Arda Kardzhali2
FC Dobrudzha0
L
08.03.26
1L: FC Dobrudzha1
Beroe0
W
05.03.26
1L: Lokomotiv Sofia3
FC Dobrudzha1
L
28.02.26
1L: FC Dobrudzha2
Cherno More1
W
21.02.26
1L: FC Dobrudzha1
Montana0
W
16.02.26
1L: Botev Vratsa0
FC Dobrudzha0
D
08.02.26
1L: FC Dobrudzha3
Septemvri Sofia0
W
30.01.26
CF: FC Dobrudzha0
Alashkert2
L
27.01.26
CF: MFK Ružomberok1
FC Dobrudzha2
W
Levski Sofia
21.03.26
1L: Levski Sofia2
Cherno More1
W
15.03.26
1L: Beroe0
Levski Sofia1
W
09.03.26
1L: Levski Sofia1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv0
W
05.03.26
1L: Ludogorets1
Levski Sofia0
L
01.03.26
1L: Levski Sofia4
Lokomotiv Sofia3
W
22.02.26
1L: CSKA 1948 Sofia1
Levski Sofia3
W
15.02.26
1L: Levski Sofia3
Botev Plovdiv0
W
11.02.26
Cup: Ludogorets1
Levski Sofia0
L
07.02.26
1L: Levski Sofia3
Botev Vratsa1
W
03.02.26
Super Cup: Levski Sofia0
Ludogorets1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Sunday, 5th April 2026, Dobrudzha host Levski Sofia in Bulgaria EFBET League. Our analysis desk recommends Levski Sofia to win as the standout selection.

Dobrudzha arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Levski Sofia are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 0D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dobrudzha, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Levski Sofia's 8, with 0 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 25% of those meetings.

Our verdict: levski sofia to win at odds of 1.44 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Bulgaria EFBET League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 2, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.44. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 5 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dobrudzha vs Levski Sofia?
Our selection is 2 — Levski Sofia to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Dobrudzha's current form?
Dobrudzha have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Levski Sofia been performing recently?
Levski Sofia have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dobrudzha lead with 0 wins versus Levski Sofia's 8, with 0 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.
⚠️
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