LOST Case LOST Al Seeb 0-1 Sohar
Fixture Case File · Ref V
A

Al Seeb

Home Side
W D W W W
6W 2D 2L ▲ Trending Up
VS
0-1
S
Sohar
Away Side
D L L D W
4W 3D 3L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
58%
Tuesday, 31st March 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Al Seeb to win
Al Seeb 50%
Draw 20%
Sohar 30%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds3.33
Implied Prob74.1%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-16.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBA<<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<053D550DF4DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 31 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Al Seeb to win
1.35
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No75% Al Seeb Clean Sheet60%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Al Seeb vs Sohar Competition: Oman FA Cup Date: Tuesday, 31st March 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Seeb to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 58% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (75%) Also: Al Seeb Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: 053D550DF
Head to Head
Record
7
Al Seeb
2
Draws
1
Sohar
10
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Al Seeb won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Seeb
Metric
Sohar
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.6
Goals Against / Game
0.6
60%
Clean Sheets
50%
6-2-2
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
60%
40%
1.8
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
A0
0-0 17.4%
0-1 13.0%
0-2 4.9%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 17.4%
1-1 13.0%
1-2 4.9%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 8.7%
2-1 6.5%
2-2 2.4%
2-3 0.6%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 2.2%
3-2 0.8%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 0.7%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(17.4%) 2-0(8.7%) 2-1(6.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Seeb Win
50%
2
Draw
20%
5
Sohar Win
30%
3.33
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Seeb
Overall
6.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
8.0
Sohar
Overall
4.9
Scoring
3.0
Defence
8.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 24%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 34%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
06.03.26
DIV: Sohar0
Al Seeb1
27.09.25
DIV: Al Seeb2
Sohar1
21.04.25
DIV: Sohar3
Al Seeb2
20.10.24
DIV: Al Seeb3
Sohar1
27.04.24
DIV: Al Seeb0
Sohar0
20.10.23
Cup: Sohar1
Al Seeb4
15.10.23
DIV: Sohar0
Al Seeb0
27.04.23
DIV: Al Seeb2
Sohar0
19.12.22
DIV: Sohar1
Al Seeb2
07.04.22
DIV: Al Seeb1
Sohar0
Recent Form
Al Seeb
17.03.26
DIV: Bahla0
Al Seeb2
W
12.03.26
DIV: Al Seeb0
Al Nasr0
D
06.03.26
DIV: Sohar0
Al Seeb1
W
21.02.26
DIV: Al Seeb3
Oman Club0
W
15.02.26
DIV: Al Khaboora0
Al Seeb3
W
07.02.26
DIV: Ibri1
Al Seeb0
L
02.02.26
DIV: Al Seeb2
Al-Shabab2
D
29.01.26
Cup: Al Nahda2
Al Seeb0
L
24.01.26
DIV: Al Seeb2
Al Nahda1
W
20.01.26
Cup: Al Seeb1
Al Nahda0
W
Sohar
17.03.26
DIV: Sohar0
Ibri0
D
11.03.26
DIV: Al-Shabab2
Sohar1
L
06.03.26
DIV: Sohar0
Al Seeb1
L
22.02.26
DIV: Dhofar0
Sohar0
D
16.02.26
DIV: Sohar2
Al-Rustaq0
W
08.02.26
DIV: Sohar1
Sur Club1
D
03.02.26
DIV: Saham0
Sohar2
W
24.01.26
DIV: Sohar1
Al-Samail0
W
15.01.26
DIV: Bahla1
Sohar2
W
11.01.26
Cup: Sohar0
Al Nasr1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 31st March 2026, Al Seeb host Sohar in Oman FA Cup. Our analysis desk recommends Al Seeb to win as the standout selection.

Al Seeb arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Sohar are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Seeb, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Sohar's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al seeb to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Oman FA Cup game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.35. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 31 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Seeb vs Sohar?
Our selection is 1 — Al Seeb to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Al Seeb's current form?
Al Seeb have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sohar been performing recently?
Sohar have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Seeb lead with 7 wins versus Sohar's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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