WON Case WON Temouchent 3-0 Bechar Djedid
Fixture Case File · Ref V
T

Temouchent

Home Side
D W W L W
4W 4D 2L → Holding Steady
VS
3-0
B
Bechar Djedid
Away Side
W L L L L
1W 2D 7L → Holding Steady
CAUTION
43%
Friday, 27th March 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Temouchent to win
Temouchent 60%
Draw 20%
Bechar Djedid 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob76.3%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-33.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBT<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<B<<<<<<D<<<<<<<<<C7D5D2E7E4DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 27 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Temouchent to win
1.31
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No75%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Temouchent vs Bechar Djedid Competition: Algeria Ligue 2 Date: Friday, 27th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Temouchent to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 43% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: BTTS — No (75%) Ledger Ref: C7D5D2E7E
Head to Head
Record
0
Temouchent
3
Draws
0
Bechar Djedid
3
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Temouchent won 0 of the last 3 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Temouchent
Metric
Bechar Djedid
0
Goals For / Game
0.9
0
Goals Against / Game
2.2
0%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-4-2
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
40%
10%
1.6
Avg Goals
30%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
T0
0-0 21.2%
0-1 9.6%
0-2 2.2%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
T1
1-0 23.4%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 2.4%
1-3 0.4%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
T2
2-0 12.8%
2-1 5.8%
2-2 1.3%
2-3 0.2%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
T3
3-0 4.7%
3-1 2.1%
3-2 0.5%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
T4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(23.4%) 2-0(12.8%) 2-1(5.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing T=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Temouchent Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Bechar Djedid Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Temouchent
Overall
5.2
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Bechar Djedid
Overall
1.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
2.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 38%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 29%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 38%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 29%
Away Win & Over 2.5 3%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.11.25
L2: Bechar Djedid1
CR Témouchent2
28.02.25
L2: Bechar Djedid1
CR Témouchent3
22.10.24
L2: CR Témouchent1
Bechar Djedid0
Recent Form
Temouchent
14.03.26
L2: ESM Koléa0
CR Témouchent0
D
07.03.26
L2: CRB Adrar1
CR Témouchent2
W
28.02.26
L2: CR Témouchent1
RC Kouba0
W
17.02.26
L2: USM El Harrach2
CR Témouchent0
L
13.02.26
L2: CR Témouchent1
MC Saïda0
W
06.02.26
L2: WA Mostaganem2
CR Témouchent2
D
24.01.26
L2: CR Témouchent1
GC Mascara1
D
20.01.26
L2: ASM Oran1
CR Témouchent1
D
03.01.26
L2: WA Tlemcen1
CR Témouchent0
L
27.12.25
L2: CR Témouchent2
JSM Tiaret1
W
Bechar Djedid
14.03.26
L2: Bechar Djedid5
CRB Adrar2
W
07.03.26
L2: GC Mascara4
Bechar Djedid1
L
25.02.26
L2: Bechar Djedid1
MC Saïda3
L
17.02.26
L2: WA Mostaganem1
Bechar Djedid0
L
13.02.26
L2: Bechar Djedid0
RC Kouba1
L
07.02.26
L2: ASM Oran7
Bechar Djedid0
L
24.01.26
L2: Bechar Djedid0
USM El Harrach0
D
17.01.26
L2: JS Tixeraïne1
Bechar Djedid1
D
03.01.26
L2: JSM Tiaret1
Bechar Djedid0
L
27.12.25
L2: Bechar Djedid1
RC Arbaâ2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Friday, 27th March 2026, Temouchent host Bechar Djedid in Algeria Ligue 2. Our analysis desk recommends Temouchent to win as the standout selection.

Temouchent arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Bechar Djedid are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Temouchent, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Bechar Djedid's 0, with 3 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: temouchent to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Algeria Ligue 2 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.31. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 27 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Temouchent vs Bechar Djedid?
Our selection is 1 — Temouchent to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 43%.
What is Temouchent's current form?
Temouchent have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bechar Djedid been performing recently?
Bechar Djedid have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Temouchent lead with 0 wins versus Bechar Djedid's 0, with 3 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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