WON Case WON Portugal U20 3-0 Switzerland U20
Fixture Case File · Ref V
P

Portugal U20

Home Side
D W W W W
5W 5D 0L ▼ Trending Down
VS
3-0
S
Switzerland U20
Away Side
L W W L D
2W 2D 6L → Holding Steady
CAUTION
37%
Friday, 27th March 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Portugal U20 to win
Portugal U20 50%
Draw 30%
Switzerland U20 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob75.8%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-38.8%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBP<<<<<<<<U20<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<<<<<<<U20<<FA9B570BA4DFB2607252M2607259<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 27 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Portugal U20 to win
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes75%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Portugal U20 vs Switzerland U20 Competition: Euro Elite League U20 Date: Friday, 27th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Portugal U20 to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 37% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — Yes (75%) Ledger Ref: FA9B570BA
Head to Head
Record
0
Portugal U20
3
Draws
1
Switzerland U20
4
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
75%
BTTS
25%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Portugal U20 won 0 of the last 4 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Portugal U20
Metric
Switzerland U20
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.8
Goals Against / Game
2.4
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-5-0
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
50%
20%
3.1
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
P0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
P1
1-0 9.2%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
P2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.5%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
P3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
P4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(9.2%) 2-0(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing P=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Portugal U20 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Switzerland U20 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Portugal U20
Overall
6.5
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.3
Switzerland U20
Overall
2.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
2.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 25%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.09.19
EL: Portugal U202
Switzerland U202
11.10.18
EL: Portugal U201
Switzerland U201
05.10.17
EL: Switzerland U201
Portugal U201
18.04.12
FI: Portugal U200
Switzerland U201
Recent Form
Portugal U20
17.11.25
EL: Portugal U201
Romania U201
D
14.11.25
EL: Italy U201
Portugal U202
W
13.10.25
EL: Portugal U201
Germany U200
W
10.10.25
EL: Portugal U202
Germany U201
W
09.09.25
EL: Poland U201
Portugal U202
W
04.09.25
EL: Portugal U203
Czech Republic U200
W
24.03.25
EL: Germany U201
Portugal U201
D
21.03.25
EL: Portugal U201
England U201
D
18.11.24
EL: Portugal U201
Czech Republic U201
D
14.11.24
EL: Romania U201
Portugal U201
D
Switzerland U20
13.10.25
EL: Poland U204
Switzerland U201
L
10.10.25
FI: England U200
Switzerland U201
W
08.09.25
EL: Switzerland U202
Czech Republic U201
W
05.09.25
EL: Switzerland U201
Germany U205
L
24.03.25
FI: Romania U193
Switzerland U203
D
21.03.25
FI: Switzerland U200
Romania U191
L
15.11.24
FI: Switzerland U200
Czech Republic U201
L
14.10.24
FI: Romania U202
Switzerland U202
D
09.09.24
FI: France U202
Switzerland U201
L
06.09.24
FI: France U205
Switzerland U203
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Friday, 27th March 2026, Portugal U20 host Switzerland U20 in Euro Elite League U20. Our analysis desk recommends Portugal U20 to win as the standout selection.

Portugal U20 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Switzerland U20 are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Portugal U20, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Switzerland U20's 1, with 3 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 75% of those meetings.

Our verdict: portugal u20 to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Euro Elite League U20 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.32. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 27 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Portugal U20 vs Switzerland U20?
Our selection is 1 — Portugal U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 37%.
What is Portugal U20's current form?
Portugal U20 have won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Switzerland U20 been performing recently?
Switzerland U20 have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Portugal U20 lead with 0 wins versus Switzerland U20's 1, with 3 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 75%.
⚠️
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