WON Case WON Ol Grudziadz 2-0 LKS Lodz II
Fixture Case File · Ref V
O

Ol Grudziadz

Home Side
D W L W W
5W 3D 2L ▼ Trending Down
VS
2-0
L
LKS Lodz II
Away Side
L W W L D
4W 3D 3L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
90%
Friday, 27th March 2026 Case Verdict
1X
Filing on Ol Grudziadz to win or draw
Implied Prob88.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+1.5%Value detected
Kelly %13.1%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBO<<G<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<LKS<L<<<<II<<<<<<EC094BCDB4DFB2608252M2608259<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 27 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1X — Ol Grudziadz to win or draw
1.13
Under 2.5 Goals100% BTTS — No100%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Ol Grudziadz vs LKS Lodz II Competition: Poland Division 2 Date: Friday, 27th March 2026 Pick: 1X (Ol Grudziadz to win or draw) Odds: 1.13 Confidence: 90% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (100%) Also: BTTS — No (100%) Ledger Ref: EC094BCDB
Head to Head
Record
0
Ol Grudziadz
5
Draws
0
LKS Lodz II
5
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ol Grudziadz
Metric
LKS Lodz II
0
Goals For / Game
0
0
Goals Against / Game
0
0%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-3-2
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
50%
40%
0
Avg Goals
0%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
O0
0-0 67.0%
0-1 13.4%
0-2 1.3%
0-3 0.1%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
O1
1-0 13.4%
1-1 2.7%
1-2 0.3%
1-3 0.0%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
O2
2-0 1.3%
2-1 0.3%
2-2 0.0%
2-3 0.0%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
O3
3-0 0.1%
3-1 0.0%
3-2 0.0%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
O4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.0%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-0(67.0%) 1-0(13.4%) 1-1(2.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing O=Home goals ↓   L=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Ol Grudziadz
Overall
5.9
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
LKS Lodz II
Overall
4.9
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 42%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 25%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 33%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 25%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 33%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.09.25
DIV: ŁKS Łódź II2
Olimpia Grudziądz4
21.03.25
DIV: Olimpia Grudziądz1
ŁKS Łódź II0
23.08.24
DIV: ŁKS Łódź II2
Olimpia Grudziądz4
29.04.24
DIV: ŁKS Łódź II1
Olimpia Grudziądz1
16.10.23
DIV: Olimpia Grudziądz1
ŁKS Łódź II1
Recent Form
Ol Grudziadz
22.03.26
DIV: Podbeskidzie1
Olimpia Grudziądz1
D
15.03.26
DIV: Olimpia Grudziądz7
Zagłębie Sosnowiec1
W
08.03.26
DIV: Śląsk Wrocław II1
Olimpia Grudziądz0
L
01.03.26
DIV: Olimpia Grudziądz2
Resovia Rzeszów1
W
22.02.26
DIV: Podhale Nowy Targ1
Olimpia Grudziądz2
W
13.02.26
CF: Olimpia Grudziądz2
Noteć Czarnków0
W
07.02.26
CF: Olimpia Grudziądz3
Elana Toruń3
D
31.01.26
CF: Grodzisk M.2
Olimpia Grudziądz2
D
24.01.26
CF: Olimpia Grudziądz0
Warta Poznań5
L
17.01.26
CF: Pruszków0
Olimpia Grudziądz2
W
LKS Lodz II
21.03.26
DIV: Sandecja Nowy Sącz4
ŁKS Łódź II1
L
18.03.26
DIV: Chojniczanka Chojnice0
ŁKS Łódź II1
W
12.03.26
DIV: ŁKS Łódź II2
KKS Kalisz0
W
06.03.26
DIV: ŁKS Łódź II1
Podbeskidzie4
L
28.02.26
DIV: Warta Poznań2
ŁKS Łódź II2
D
24.01.26
CF: Skra Częstochowa1
ŁKS Łódź II2
W
04.12.25
DIV: Sokół Kleczew2
ŁKS Łódź II2
D
29.11.25
DIV: ŁKS Łódź II1
GKS Jastrzębie1
D
21.11.25
DIV: ŁKS Łódź II2
Hutnik Kraków0
W
10.11.25
DIV: ŁKS Łódź II1
Śląsk Wrocław II4
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Friday, 27th March 2026, Ol Grudziadz host LKS Lodz II in Poland Division 2. Our analysis desk recommends Ol Grudziadz to win or draw as the standout selection.

Ol Grudziadz arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

LKS Lodz II are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Ol Grudziadz, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to LKS Lodz II's 0, with 5 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ol grudziadz to win or draw at odds of 1.13 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Poland Division 2 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1X, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.13. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 27 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ol Grudziadz vs LKS Lodz II?
Our selection is 1X — Ol Grudziadz to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Ol Grudziadz's current form?
Ol Grudziadz have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has LKS Lodz II been performing recently?
LKS Lodz II have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ol Grudziadz lead with 0 wins versus LKS Lodz II's 0, with 5 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 0 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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