WON Case WON Zrinjski 3-2 GOSK Gabala

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Zrinjski

Q: What is the recommended bet for Zrinjski vs GOSK Gabala?

Our selection is 1 — Zrinjski to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 67%.

Q: What is Zrinjski's current form?

Zrinjski have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has GOSK Gabala been performing recently?

GOSK Gabala have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Zrinjski lead with 4 wins versus GOSK Gabala's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

Home Side

W W W D L

4W 0D 1L ▲ Trending Up

3-2

GOSK Gabala

Away Side

L W L W W

3W 0D 2L → Holding Steady

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CASE VERIFIED

67%

Wednesday, 11th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Zrinjski to win

Zrinjski 50%

Draw 30%

GOSK Gabala 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob84%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-17%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBZ<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<GOSK<G<<<<<<<<<<<C5C8E74814DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 12 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Zrinjski to win

1.19

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80% GOSK Gabala Clean Sheet60%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Zrinjski vs GOSK Gabala Competition: Bosnian Cup Date: Wednesday, 11th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Zrinjski to win) Odds: 1.19 Confidence: 67% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: GOSK Gabala Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: C5C8E7481

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Head to Head

Record

Zrinjski

Draws

GOSK Gabala

Meetings

4.2

Avg Goals

80%

BTTS

100%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Zrinjski won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Zrinjski

Metric

GOSK Gabala

Goals For / Game

1.4

1.2

Goals Against / Game

0.6

20%

Clean Sheets

60%

4-0-1

W — D — L

3-0-2

Win Rate

80%

60%

3.1

Avg Goals

80%

Over 1.5

70%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 4.5%

0-1 5.9%

0-2 3.8%

0-3 1.7%

0-4 0.5%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 8.1%

1-1 10.5%

1-2 6.9%

1-3 3.0%

1-4 1.0%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 7.3%

2-1 9.5%

2-2 6.2%

2-3 2.7%

2-4 0.9%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 4.4%

3-1 5.7%

3-2 3.7%

3-3 1.6%

3-4 0.5%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.0%

4-1 2.6%

4-2 1.7%

4-3 0.7%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.7%

5-1 0.9%

5-2 0.6%

5-3 0.3%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 2-1(9.5%) 1-0(8.1%) 2-0(7.3%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing Z=Home goals ↓ G=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Zrinjski Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

GOSK Gabala Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Zrinjski

Overall

8.0 —

Scoring

10.0 —

Defence

6.0 —

GOSK Gabala

Overall

6.0 —

Scoring

4.7 —

Defence

8.0 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%

Home Win & BTTS No 29%

Draw & BTTS Yes 0%

Draw & BTTS No 0%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%

Away Win & BTTS No 22%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 40%

Home Win & Under 2.5 17%

Draw & Over 2.5 0%

Draw & Under 2.5 0%

Away Win & Over 2.5 30%

Away Win & Under 2.5 13%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ CUP (05.03.26): GOSK Gabela1

Zrinjski2

⚽ LIG (30.05.25): GOSK Gabela3

Zrinjski2

⚽ LIG (11.11.24): Zrinjski3

GOSK Gabela0

⚽ LIG (11.08.24): GOSK Gabela1

Zrinjski4

⚽ LIG (13.05.24): GOSK Gabela1

Zrinjski4

Recent Form

Zrinjski

⚽ CUP (05.03.26): GOSK Gabela1

Zrinjski2

⚽ LIG (30.05.25): GOSK Gabela3

Zrinjski2

⚽ LIG (11.11.24): Zrinjski3

GOSK Gabela0

⚽ LIG (11.08.24): GOSK Gabela1

Zrinjski4

⚽ LIG (13.05.24): GOSK Gabela1

Zrinjski4

GOSK Gabala

⚽ CUP (05.03.26): GOSK Gabela1

Zrinjski2

⚽ CUP (10.02.26): GOSK Gabela1

Prijedor (0-0 FT, 5-4 Pens)0

⚽ FBiH (16.11.25): Celik Zenica1

GOSK Gabela0

⚽ FBiH (09.11.25): GOSK Gabela2

Hadzici0

⚽ FBiH (02.11.25): Tuzla City0

GOSK Gabela3

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Wednesday, 11th March 2026, Zrinjski host GOSK Gabala in Bosnian Cup. Our analysis desk recommends Zrinjski to win as the standout selection.

Zrinjski arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

GOSK Gabala are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 3W 0D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zrinjski, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to GOSK Gabala's 1, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: zrinjski to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 12 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Zrinjski vs GOSK Gabala?

Our selection is 1 — Zrinjski to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 67%.

What is Zrinjski's current form?

Zrinjski have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has GOSK Gabala been performing recently?

GOSK Gabala have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Zrinjski lead with 4 wins versus GOSK Gabala's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

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