WON Case WON Zwickau 2-0 Hertha Berlin II
Fixture Case File · Ref V
Z

Zwickau

Home Side
L W W W D
5W 2D 3L ▲ Trending Up
VS
2-0
H
Hertha Berlin II
Away Side
L L L W W
6W 0D 4L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
47%
Tuesday, 24th March 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Zwickau to win
Zwickau 50%
Draw 30%
Hertha Berlin II 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob70.4%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-23.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBZ<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<H<<<<<<B<<<<<<II<551D444A54DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 25 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Zwickau to win
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Zwickau vs Hertha Berlin II Competition: Ger. Regionalliga Nordost Date: Tuesday, 24th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Zwickau to win) Odds: 1.42 Confidence: 47% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ledger Ref: 551D444A5
Head to Head
Record
4
Zwickau
3
Draws
3
Hertha Berlin II
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Zwickau won 4 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Zwickau
Metric
Hertha Berlin II
1.8
Goals For / Game
2.5
1.7
Goals Against / Game
1.4
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-2-3
W — D — L
6-0-4
Win Rate
50%
60%
3.7
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
Z0
0-0 2.5%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 5.5%
0-3 3.8%
0-4 2.0%
0-5 0.8%
Z1
1-0 4.0%
1-1 8.3%
1-2 8.7%
1-3 6.1%
1-4 3.2%
1-5 1.4%
Z2
2-0 3.2%
2-1 6.7%
2-2 7.0%
2-3 4.9%
2-4 2.6%
2-5 1.1%
Z3
3-0 1.7%
3-1 3.5%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 2.6%
3-4 1.4%
3-5 0.6%
Z4
4-0 0.7%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.2%
Z5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(6.7%) 1-0(4.0%) 3-2(3.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing Z=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Zwickau Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Hertha Berlin II Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Zwickau
Overall
5.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
4.3
Hertha Berlin II
Overall
6.0
Scoring
8.3
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 38%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
27.08.25
RL: Hertha Berlin II3
FSV Zwickau3
04.04.25
RL: FSV Zwickau2
Hertha Berlin II0
04.10.24
RL: Hertha Berlin II3
FSV Zwickau0
02.02.24
RL: FSV Zwickau4
Hertha Berlin II1
15.08.23
RL: Hertha Berlin II4
FSV Zwickau3
03.04.16
RL: FSV Zwickau1
Hertha Berlin II0
25.09.15
RL: Hertha Berlin II0
FSV Zwickau0
26.04.15
RL: FSV Zwickau3
Hertha Berlin II2
26.10.14
RL: Hertha Berlin II0
FSV Zwickau0
22.02.14
RL: Hertha Berlin II2
FSV Zwickau0
Recent Form
Zwickau
20.03.26
RL: Hallescher3
FSV Zwickau0
L
13.03.26
RL: FSV Zwickau1
Hertha Zehlendorf0
W
07.03.26
RL: Magdeburg II1
FSV Zwickau2
W
03.03.26
RL: FSV Zwickau3
Babelsberg2
W
28.02.26
RL: FSV Zwickau2
Altglienicke2
D
22.02.26
RL: Meuselwitz4
FSV Zwickau0
L
31.01.26
CF: Eilenburg2
FSV Zwickau0
L
17.01.26
CF: FSV Zwickau6
Nasaf Qarshi1
W
14.01.26
CF: FSV Zwickau2
Wuppertal0
W
14.12.25
RL: FSV Zwickau2
Eilenburg2
D
Hertha Berlin II
20.03.26
RL: Erfurt3
Hertha Berlin II2
L
15.03.26
RL: Lokomotive Leipzig4
Hertha Berlin II0
L
10.03.26
RL: Hertha Berlin II0
Greifswald1
L
06.03.26
RL: Hertha Berlin II5
BFC Preussen0
W
03.03.26
RL: Eilenburg0
Hertha Berlin II1
W
27.02.26
RL: BFC Dynamo1
Hertha Berlin II3
W
23.01.26
CF: Hertha Berlin II4
Babelsberg0
W
17.01.26
CF: Hertha Berlin II5
Lichtenberg1
W
14.12.25
RL: Hertha Berlin II2
Jena3
L
07.12.25
RL: Meuselwitz1
Hertha Berlin II3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 24th March 2026, Zwickau host Hertha Berlin II in Ger. Regionalliga Nordost. Our analysis desk recommends Zwickau to win as the standout selection.

Zwickau arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hertha Berlin II are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 0D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zwickau, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Hertha Berlin II's 3, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: zwickau to win at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Ger. Regionalliga Nordost game is a perfect chance to do exactly that.

Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass. We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter.

Then we turn our attention to the away side. We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important.

Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage. Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.42.

Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over. The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 25 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zwickau vs Hertha Berlin II?
Our selection is 1 — Zwickau to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is Zwickau's current form?
Zwickau have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hertha Berlin II been performing recently?
Hertha Berlin II have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zwickau lead with 4 wins versus Hertha Berlin II's 3, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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