WON Case WON Wurzburger Kickers 4-0 Aschaffenburg
Fixture Case File · Ref V
W

Wurzburger Kickers

Home Side
W D W L D
6W 1D 3L → Holding Steady
VS
4-0
A
Aschaffenburg
Away Side
L D L L W
1W 1D 8L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
53%
Friday, 20th March 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Wurzburger Kickers to win
Wurzburger Kickers 50%
Draw 30%
Aschaffenburg 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob79.4%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-26.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBW<<<<<<<<<<K<<<<<<<<<<A<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<ABD15166B4DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 20 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
5
Wurzburger Kickers
4
Draws
1
Aschaffenburg
10
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Neutral Wurzburger Kickers won 5 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Wurzburger Kickers
Metric
Aschaffenburg
2.2
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.6
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-1-3
W — D — L
1-1-8
Win Rate
60%
10%
2.9
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
W0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
W1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 5.2%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
W2
2-0 9.9%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
W3
3-0 6.3%
3-1 6.3%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
W4
4-0 3.0%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
W5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.5%) 2-0(9.9%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing W=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Wurzburger Kickers Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Aschaffenburg Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Wurzburger Kickers
Overall
6.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
6.0
Aschaffenburg
Overall
1.3
Scoring
2.7
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 41%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 41%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.09.25
RL: Viktoria Aschaffenburg0
Würzburger Kickers1
08.03.25
RL: Würzburger Kickers0
Viktoria Aschaffenburg0
30.08.24
RL: Viktoria Aschaffenburg0
Würzburger Kickers2
09.03.24
RL: Viktoria Aschaffenburg0
Würzburger Kickers2
29.08.23
RL: Würzburger Kickers1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg1
11.03.23
RL: Würzburger Kickers1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg1
23.08.22
RL: Viktoria Aschaffenburg1
Würzburger Kickers3
09.05.14
RL: Viktoria Aschaffenburg1
Würzburger Kickers2
05.10.13
RL: Würzburger Kickers0
Viktoria Aschaffenburg2
17.11.12
RL: Würzburger Kickers1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg1
Recent Form
Wurzburger Kickers
14.03.26
RL: Augsburg II0
Würzburger Kickers1
W
10.03.26
RL: Vilzing1
Würzburger Kickers1
D
07.03.26
RL: Würzburger Kickers1
Aubstadt0
W
27.02.26
RL: Nürnberg II1
Würzburger Kickers0
L
21.02.26
CF: Würzburger Kickers6
Ansbach2
W
12.02.26
CF: Baleares3
Würzburger Kickers1
L
07.02.26
CF: Würzburger Kickers3
Fulda-Lehnerz0
W
23.01.26
CF: Abtswind2
Würzburger Kickers7
W
17.01.26
CF: Hollenbach3
Würzburger Kickers1
L
28.11.25
RL: Würzburger Kickers1
Buchbach0
W
Aschaffenburg
14.03.26
RL: Viktoria Aschaffenburg0
Ansbach1
L
07.03.26
RL: Memmingen0
Viktoria Aschaffenburg0
D
28.02.26
RL: Viktoria Aschaffenburg1
Schwaben Augsburg2
L
21.02.26
CF: Viktoria Aschaffenburg0
Alzenau1
L
14.02.26
CF: Giessen2
Viktoria Aschaffenburg3
W
07.02.26
CF: Sp. Seligenstadt1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg0
L
31.01.26
CF: Schott Mainz3
Viktoria Aschaffenburg1
L
28.01.26
CF: Viktoria Aschaffenburg3
Eintracht Frankfurt II4
L
28.11.25
RL: Viktoria Aschaffenburg0
Bayreuth1
L
22.11.25
RL: Viktoria Aschaffenburg0
Hankofen-Hailing1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Friday, 20th March 2026, Wurzburger Kickers host Aschaffenburg in Ger. Regionalliga Bayern. Our analysis desk recommends Wurzburger Kickers to win as the standout selection.

Wurzburger Kickers arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Aschaffenburg are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 1D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Wurzburger Kickers, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Aschaffenburg's 1, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: wurzburger kickers to win at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Ger. Regionalliga Bayern game is a perfect chance to do exactly that.

Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass. We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter.

Then we turn our attention to the away side. We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important.

Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage. Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.26.

Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over. The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 20 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Wurzburger Kickers vs Aschaffenburg?
Our selection is 1 — Wurzburger Kickers to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Wurzburger Kickers's current form?
Wurzburger Kickers have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Aschaffenburg been performing recently?
Aschaffenburg have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Wurzburger Kickers lead with 5 wins versus Aschaffenburg's 1, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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