LOST Case LOST Roskilde 0-1 Helsingor
Fixture Case File · Ref V
R

Roskilde

Home Side
W W W W W
7W 2D 1L ▼ Trending Down
VS
0-1
H
Helsingor
Away Side
L D D D D
0W 5D 5L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
51%
Friday, 20th March 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Roskilde to win
Roskilde 50%
Draw 30%
Helsingor 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob75.8%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-24.8%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBR<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<H<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<AC73AA4734DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 20 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Roskilde to win
1.32
Under 2.5 Goals70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Roskilde vs Helsingor Competition: Denmark 2 Division Date: Friday, 20th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Roskilde to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 51% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Ledger Ref: AC73AA473
Head to Head
Record
3
Roskilde
7
Draws
0
Helsingor
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Roskilde won 3 of the last 10 meetings (7 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Roskilde
Metric
Helsingor
2.2
Goals For / Game
0
1
Goals Against / Game
0
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
7-2-1
W — D — L
0-5-5
Win Rate
70%
0%
1.6
Avg Goals
45%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
R0
0-0 20.2%
0-1 10.1%
0-2 2.5%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
R1
1-0 22.2%
1-1 11.1%
1-2 2.8%
1-3 0.5%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
R2
2-0 12.2%
2-1 6.1%
2-2 1.5%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
R3
3-0 4.5%
3-1 2.2%
3-2 0.6%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
R4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
R5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(22.2%) 2-0(12.2%) 2-1(6.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing R=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Roskilde Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Helsingor Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Roskilde
Overall
7.6
Scoring
7.3
Defence
6.7
Helsingor
Overall
1.5
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 47%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.10.25
2D: FC Helsingør1
FC Roskilde2
20.01.24
CF: FC Helsingør3
FC Roskilde4
15.02.22
CF: FC Roskilde1
FC Helsingør4
15.02.20
CF: FC Roskilde1
FC Helsingør4
31.03.19
1D: FC Helsingør2
FC Roskilde1
18.11.18
1D: FC Roskilde2
FC Helsingør1
30.09.18
1D: FC Helsingør3
FC Roskilde0
09.04.17
1D: FC Helsingør1
FC Roskilde0
09.10.16
1D: FC Roskilde2
FC Helsingør2
21.08.16
1D: FC Helsingør2
FC Roskilde0
Recent Form
Roskilde
13.03.26
2D: Hellerup0
FC Roskilde2
W
06.03.26
2D: FC Roskilde2
Ishøj1
W
19.02.26
CF: BK Frem1
FC Roskilde4
W
14.02.26
CF: Brønshøj1
FC Roskilde2
W
07.02.26
CF: FC Roskilde4
BK Frem1
W
24.01.26
CF: FC Roskilde1
B.930
W
17.01.26
CF: FC Roskilde4
Holbæk2
W
15.11.25
2D: Brabrand1
FC Roskilde1
D
07.11.25
2D: Skive1
FC Roskilde1
D
01.11.25
2D: FC Roskilde1
Thisted FC2
L
Helsingor
15.03.26
2D: FC Helsingør0
VSK Aarhus1
L
06.03.26
2D: Skive1
FC Helsingør1
D
27.02.26
CF: FC Helsingør1
Eskilsminne1
D
21.02.26
CF: Næstved1
FC Helsingør1
D
13.02.26
CF: Hillerød3
FC Helsingør3
D
29.01.26
CF: FC Helsingør2
Brønshøj3
L
24.01.26
CF: FC Helsingør0
Vanløse0
D
14.11.25
2D: FC Helsingør1
AB Copenhagen5
L
07.11.25
2D: Hellerup3
FC Helsingør2
L
02.11.25
2D: Næstved2
FC Helsingør1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Friday, 20th March 2026, Roskilde host Helsingor in Denmark 2 Division. Our analysis desk recommends Roskilde to win as the standout selection.

Roskilde arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Helsingor are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 5D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Roskilde, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Helsingor's 0, with 7 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: roskilde to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Denmark 2 Division game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.32. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 20 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Roskilde vs Helsingor?
Our selection is 1 — Roskilde to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Roskilde's current form?
Roskilde have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Helsingor been performing recently?
Helsingor have recorded 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Roskilde lead with 3 wins versus Helsingor's 0, with 7 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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