LOST Case LOST Sportunion Mauer 1-2 Retz
Fixture Case File · Ref V
S

Sportunion Mauer

Home Side
L W L W W
4W 2D 4L ▼ Trending Down
VS
1-2
R
Retz
Away Side
D L L L L
1W 2D 7L ▲ Trending Up
CAUTION
38%
Saturday, 30th May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Sportunion Mauer to win
Sportunion Mauer 50%
Draw 30%
Retz 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob71.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-33.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBS<<<<<<<<<<M<<<<<<<<<<R<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<34AA64F674DFB2609212M2609219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 31 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Sportunion Mauer to win
1.39
BTTS — No65%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Sportunion Mauer vs Retz Competition: Austria Regionalliga East Date: Saturday, 30th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Sportunion Mauer to win) Odds: 1.39 Confidence: 38% Also: BTTS — No (65%) Ledger Ref: 34AA64F67
Head to Head
Record
0
Sportunion Mauer
1
Draws
0
Retz
1
Meetings
0
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Sportunion Mauer won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Sportunion Mauer
Metric
Retz
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.5
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.8
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-2-4
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
40%
10%
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
S0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 11.1%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.1%) 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing S=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Sportunion Mauer Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Retz Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Sportunion Mauer
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.7
Retz
Overall
1.6
Scoring
1.7
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 19%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.11.25RL
Retz0
Sportunion Mauer0
Recent Form
Sportunion Mauer
22.05.26RL
Gloggnitz2
Sportunion Mauer1
L
15.05.26RL
Sportunion Mauer1
Leobendorf0
W
08.05.26RL
Neusiedl3
Sportunion Mauer2
L
01.05.26RL
Sportunion Mauer5
SV Oberwart3
W
24.04.26RL
SV Donau2
Sportunion Mauer4
W
17.04.26RL
Sportunion Mauer0
Marchfeld3
L
14.04.26RL
TWL Elektra0
Sportunion Mauer2
W
06.04.26RL
Sportunion Mauer0
Horn0
D
03.04.26RL
Donaufeld Wien3
Sportunion Mauer0
L
28.03.26RL
Sportunion Mauer0
Parndorf0
D
Retz
16.05.26RL
Retz0
Gloggnitz0
D
09.05.26RL
Leobendorf1
Retz0
L
02.05.26RL
Retz1
Neusiedl3
L
28.04.26RL
Wiener Sport-Club2
Retz1
L
24.04.26RL
SV Oberwart4
Retz0
L
18.04.26RL
Retz0
SV Donau4
L
10.04.26RL
Marchfeld1
Retz0
L
06.04.26RL
Retz2
TWL Elektra0
W
03.04.26RL
Horn1
Retz1
D
28.03.26RL
Retz0
Donaufeld Wien2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 30th May 2026, Sportunion Mauer host Retz in Austria Regionalliga East. Our analysis desk recommends Sportunion Mauer to win as the standout selection.

Sportunion Mauer arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Retz are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Sportunion Mauer, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Retz's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: sportunion mauer to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Austria Regionalliga East game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.39. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 31 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Sportunion Mauer vs Retz?
Our selection is 1 — Sportunion Mauer to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 38%.
What is Sportunion Mauer's current form?
Sportunion Mauer have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Retz been performing recently?
Retz have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sportunion Mauer lead with 0 wins versus Retz's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.