WON Case WON SJK 1-2 Inter Turku
Fixture Case File · Ref V
S

SJK

Home Side
L W L L W
2W 3D 5L ▼ Trending Down
VS
1-2
I
Inter Turku
Away Side
D W W W W
7W 2D 1L ▼ Trending Down
CASE VERIFIED
88%
Wednesday, 10th June 2026 Case Verdict
Over 1.5
Filing on over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob82.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+5.4%Value detected
Kelly %30.9%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBSJK<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<I<<<<<T<<<<<<<<<<08FC8B7294DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 11 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
SJK vs Inter Turku Competition: Finland Suomen Cup Date: Wednesday, 10th June 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 88% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ledger Ref: 08FC8B729
Head to Head
Record
5
SJK
1
Draws
4
Inter Turku
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Over 1.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
SJK
Metric
Inter Turku
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.3
1.7
Goals Against / Game
0.8
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
2-3-5
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate
20%
70%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
I0
I1
I2
I3
I4
I5
S0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 9.0%
0-2 9.0%
0-3 6.0%
0-4 3.0%
0-5 1.2%
S1
1-0 5.0%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.6%
1-4 3.3%
1-5 1.3%
S2
2-0 2.7%
2-1 5.5%
2-2 5.5%
2-3 3.6%
2-4 1.8%
2-5 0.7%
S3
3-0 1.0%
3-1 2.0%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.3%
S4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(9.9%) 1-2(9.9%) 0-1(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing S=Home goals ↓   I=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
SJK
Overall
2.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.3
Inter Turku
Overall
7.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 9%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 31%
Away Win & Under 2.5 31%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
16.05.26VEI
SJK1
Inter Turku3
30.10.25VEI
Inter Turku2
SJK2
27.09.25VEI
SJK2
Inter Turku1
27.07.25VEI
Inter Turku4
SJK1
25.05.25VEI
SJK0
Inter Turku1
15.03.25CF
SJK4
Inter Turku2
16.08.24VEI
Inter Turku3
SJK0
17.05.24VEI
SJK3
Inter Turku1
07.10.23VEI
Inter Turku1
SJK2
22.07.23VEI
Inter Turku1
SJK2
Recent Form
SJK
30.05.26VEI
Gnistan3
SJK2
L
26.05.26CUP
SJK Akatemia0
SJK5
W
23.05.26VEI
SJK0
AC Oulu1
L
16.05.26VEI
SJK1
Inter Turku3
L
12.05.26CUP
SJK3
PEPO0
W
08.05.26VEI
KuPS0
SJK0
D
02.05.26VEI
SJK1
Ilves1
D
28.04.26CUP
SJK1
VPS 26
W
24.04.26VEI
SJK1
Jaro1
D
18.04.26VEI
TPS2
SJK0
L
Inter Turku
30.05.26VEI
KuPS1
Inter Turku1
D
26.05.26CUP
Inter Turku2
EBK1
W
23.05.26VEI
Inter Turku2
TPS1
W
20.05.26VEI
Ilves1
Inter Turku3
W
16.05.26VEI
SJK1
Inter Turku3
W
12.05.26CUP
Inter Turku8
Hercules0
W
09.05.26VEI
Inter Turku2
Jaro0
W
05.05.26VEI
Gnistan2
Inter Turku0
L
29.04.26VEI
Inter Turku1
HJK1
D
25.04.26VEI
Inter Turku1
Mariehamn0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 10th June 2026, SJK host Inter Turku in Finland Suomen Cup. Our analysis desk recommends over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

SJK arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Inter Turku are travelling well, with a record of 7W 2D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour SJK, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Inter Turku's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Finland Suomen Cup game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 1.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.21. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 11 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for SJK vs Inter Turku?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 88%.
What is SJK's current form?
SJK have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Inter Turku been performing recently?
Inter Turku have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
SJK lead with 5 wins versus Inter Turku's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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