LOST Case LOST Mohun Bagan 0-0 Inter Kashi
Fixture Case File · Ref V
M

Mohun Bagan

Home Side
D W W D L
6W 3D 1L ▲ Trending Up
VS
0-0
I
Inter Kashi
Away Side
L L W W L
3W 2D 5L ▲ Trending Up
MODERATE
54%
Tuesday, 12th May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Mohun Bagan to win
Mohun Bagan 50%
Draw 30%
Inter Kashi 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob89.3%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-35.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBM<<<<<B<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<I<<<<<K<<<<<<<<<<3AEC3108E4DFB2609102M2609109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 12 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Mohun Bagan
Metric
Inter Kashi
2
Goals For / Game
1
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.5
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-3-1
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
60%
30%
2.6
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
I0
I1
I2
I3
I4
I5
M0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 6.3%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
M1
1-0 13.0%
1-1 11.1%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
M2
2-0 11.4%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
M3
3-0 6.6%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
M4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.0%) 2-0(11.4%) 2-1(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing M=Home goals ↓   I=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Mohun Bagan Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Inter Kashi Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Mohun Bagan
Overall
6.9
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.7
Inter Kashi
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Mohun Bagan
09.05.26ISL
Goa1
Mohun Bagan1
D
19.04.26ISL
North East Utd0
Mohun Bagan1
W
12.04.26ISL
Mohun Bagan3
Punjab2
W
04.04.26ISL
Jamshedpur1
Mohun Bagan1
D
20.03.26ISL
Mohun Bagan0
Mumbai City1
L
14.03.26ISL
Bengaluru FC0
Mohun Bagan0
D
06.03.26ISL
Mohun Bagan5
Odisha FC1
W
28.02.26ISL
Mohun Bagan5
Mohammedan1
W
23.02.26ISL
Mohun Bagan2
Chennaiyin0
W
14.02.26ISL
Mohun Bagan2
Kerala Blasters0
W
Inter Kashi
02.05.26ISL
North East Utd3
Inter Kashi2
L
20.04.26ISL
Punjab3
Inter Kashi0
L
12.04.26ISL
Inter Kashi1
Mohammedan0
W
07.04.26ISL
Chennaiyin1
Inter Kashi2
W
22.03.26ISL
Inter Kashi1
Bengaluru FC3
L
15.03.26ISL
Inter Kashi1
Mumbai City2
L
06.03.26ISL
Jamshedpur1
Inter Kashi0
L
28.02.26ISL
Kerala Blasters1
Inter Kashi2
W
24.02.26ISL
Odisha FC0
Inter Kashi0
D
14.02.26ISL
Goa1
Inter Kashi1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 12th May 2026, Mohun Bagan host Inter Kashi in India ISL. Our analysis desk recommends Mohun Bagan to win as the standout selection.

Mohun Bagan arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Inter Kashi are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: mohun bagan to win at odds of 1.12 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This India ISL game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.12. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 12 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Mohun Bagan vs Inter Kashi?
Our selection is 1 — Mohun Bagan to win, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Mohun Bagan's current form?
Mohun Bagan have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Inter Kashi been performing recently?
Inter Kashi have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.