LOST Case LOST Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 Hertha Zehlendorf
Fixture Case File · Ref V
L

Lokomotive Leipzig

Home Side
W W L W W
7W 1D 2L → Holding Steady
VS
0-2
H
Hertha Zehlendorf
Away Side
D L D L D
1W 4D 5L ▼ Trending Down
CASE VERIFIED
65%
Wednesday, 25th March 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Lokomotive Leipzig to win
Lokomotive Leipzig 60%
Draw 20%
Hertha Zehlendorf 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob79.4%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-14.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBL<<<<<<<<<<L<<<<<<<<<<H<<<<<<Z<<<<<<<<<49D3E831D4DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 26 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Lokomotive Leipzig to win
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Hertha Zehlendorf Competition: Ger. Regionalliga Nordost Date: Wednesday, 25th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Lokomotive Leipzig to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 65% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: 49D3E831D
Head to Head
Record
2
Lokomotive Leipzig
0
Draws
1
Hertha Zehlendorf
3
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Lokomotive Leipzig won 2 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Lokomotive Leipzig
Metric
Hertha Zehlendorf
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.7
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-1-2
W — D — L
1-4-5
Win Rate
70%
10%
3.1
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
L0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 9.2%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
L2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.5%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(9.2%) 2-0(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing L=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Lokomotive Leipzig Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Hertha Zehlendorf Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Lokomotive Leipzig
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
6.3
Hertha Zehlendorf
Overall
2.2
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 44%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 3%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.08.25
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf0
Lokomotive Leipzig1
20.04.25
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf2
Lokomotive Leipzig1
25.10.24
RL: Lokomotive Leipzig2
Hertha Zehlendorf1
Recent Form
Lokomotive Leipzig
21.03.26
RL: Babelsberg1
Lokomotive Leipzig2
W
15.03.26
RL: Lokomotive Leipzig4
Hertha Berlin II0
W
08.03.26
RL: Lokomotive Leipzig1
Carl Zeiss Jena2
L
04.03.26
RL: Meuselwitz0
Lokomotive Leipzig1
W
28.02.26
RL: Luckenwalde0
Lokomotive Leipzig3
W
22.02.26
RL: Lokomotive Leipzig3
Eilenburg0
W
15.02.26
RL: Chemnitzer FC3
Lokomotive Leipzig0
L
16.01.26
CF: Fortuna Köln2
Lokomotive Leipzig2
D
14.01.26
CF: Lokomotive Leipzig3
RW Oberhausen1
W
12.12.25
RL: Altglienicke2
Lokomotive Leipzig3
W
Hertha Zehlendorf
22.03.26
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf0
Eilenburg0
D
13.03.26
RL: Zwickau1
Hertha Zehlendorf0
L
08.03.26
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf1
Luckenwalde1
D
04.03.26
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf1
Hallescher4
L
01.03.26
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf1
Meuselwitz1
D
24.01.26
CF: Hertha Zehlendorf0
Hansa Rostock II1
L
21.01.26
CF: Hertha Zehlendorf4
Makkabi Berlin1
W
17.01.26
CF: Klosterfelde4
Hertha Zehlendorf2
L
06.12.25
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf1
Altglienicke3
L
30.11.25
RL: Greifswald1
Hertha Zehlendorf1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 25th March 2026, Lokomotive Leipzig host Hertha Zehlendorf in Ger. Regionalliga Nordost. Our analysis desk recommends Lokomotive Leipzig to win as the standout selection.

Lokomotive Leipzig arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hertha Zehlendorf are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 4D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Lokomotive Leipzig, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Hertha Zehlendorf's 1, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: lokomotive leipzig to win at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Ger. Regionalliga Nordost game is a perfect chance to do exactly that.

Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass. We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter.

Then we turn our attention to the away side. We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important.

Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage. Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.26.

Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over. The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 26 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Hertha Zehlendorf?
Our selection is 1 — Lokomotive Leipzig to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Lokomotive Leipzig's current form?
Lokomotive Leipzig have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hertha Zehlendorf been performing recently?
Hertha Zehlendorf have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lokomotive Leipzig lead with 2 wins versus Hertha Zehlendorf's 1, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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