WON Case WON Kopavogur 1-0 Volsungor
Fixture Case File · Ref V
K

Kopavogur

Home Side
L W L L W
6W 0D 4L ▼ Trending Down
VS
1-0
V
Volsungor
Away Side
L L L D D
1W 2D 7L ▲ Trending Up
MODERATE
60%
Wednesday, 27th May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Kopavogur to win
Kopavogur 50%
Draw 30%
Volsungor 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob84%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-24%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBK<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<V<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<0A031A6324DFB2609222M2609229<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 27 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Kopavogur to win
1.19
BTTS — No65%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Kopavogur vs Volsungor Competition: Iceland Division 1 Date: Wednesday, 27th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Kopavogur to win) Odds: 1.19 Confidence: 60% Also: BTTS — No (65%) Ledger Ref: 0A031A632
Head to Head
Record
6
Kopavogur
2
Draws
0
Volsungor
8
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
63%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Kopavogur won 6 of the last 8 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kopavogur
Metric
Volsungor
2.3
Goals For / Game
0
2.1
Goals Against / Game
0
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-0-4
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
60%
10%
2.2
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
K0
0-0 11.1%
0-1 11.6%
0-2 6.1%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.1%
K1
1-0 12.7%
1-1 13.4%
1-2 7.0%
1-3 2.5%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.1%
K2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 7.7%
2-2 4.0%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
K3
3-0 2.8%
3-1 3.0%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
K4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.7%) 2-1(7.7%) 2-0(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing K=Home goals ↓   V=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kopavogur Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Volsungor Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Kopavogur
Overall
6.0
Scoring
7.7
Defence
3.0
Volsungor
Overall
1.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 49%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 45%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
13.09.25D1
Volsungur0
Kopavogur4
05.07.25D1
Kopavogur3
Volsungur1
15.09.12D2
Kopavogur1
Volsungur0
10.07.12D2
Volsungur1
Kopavogur0
06.08.05D1
Volsungur2
Kopavogur0
04.06.05D1
Kopavogur4
Volsungur2
21.08.04D1
Volsungur1
Kopavogur3
19.06.04D1
Kopavogur2
Volsungur1
Recent Form
Kopavogur
22.05.26D1
IR Reykjavik3
Kopavogur1
L
18.05.26D1
Kopavogur2
Njardvik0
W
13.05.26CUP
Kopavogur0
Vikingur Reykjavik2
L
09.05.26D1
Vestri4
Kopavogur3
L
01.05.26D1
Kopavogur2
Aegir1
W
25.04.26D1
Kopavogur4
Grotta1
W
06.04.26CUP
Fjolnir3
Kopavogur4
W
27.03.26CUP
Kopavogur4
BF 1080
W
07.03.26CUP
Kopavogur2
Aegir1
W
28.02.26CUP
Stjarnan6
Kopavogur1
L
Volsungor
23.05.26D1
Volsungur0
Fylkir1
L
17.05.26D1
Grindavik3
Volsungur1
L
09.05.26D1
Volsungur0
Throttur3
L
01.05.26D1
Afturelding0
Volsungur0
D
25.04.26D1
Volsungur1
Leiknir1
D
28.03.26CUP
Volsungur2
Kormakur/Hvot3
L
22.02.26CUP
Volsungur1
Akranes5
L
18.02.26CUP
Thor Akureyri1
Volsungur0
L
13.09.25D1
Volsungur0
Kopavogur4
L
06.09.25D1
Fylkir1
Volsungur2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 27th May 2026, Kopavogur host Volsungor in Iceland Division 1. Our analysis desk recommends Kopavogur to win as the standout selection.

Kopavogur arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Volsungor are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kopavogur, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Volsungor's 0, with 2 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kopavogur to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Iceland Division 1 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.19. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 27 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kopavogur vs Volsungor?
Our selection is 1 — Kopavogur to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Kopavogur's current form?
Kopavogur have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Volsungor been performing recently?
Volsungor have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kopavogur lead with 6 wins versus Volsungor's 0, with 2 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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