WON Case WON Isloch 4-0 Belshina
Fixture Case File · Ref V
I

Isloch

Home Side
W W D W W
5W 3D 2L → Holding Steady
VS
4-0
4:30 pm
SOK Olympijskij (Minsk)
B
Belshina
Away Side
L D L W L
2W 1D 7L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
58%
Sunday, 28th June 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Isloch to win
Isloch 50%
Draw 30%
Belshina 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob74.1%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-16.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBI<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<B<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<EFC53D1FA4DFB7001012M7001019<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 29 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Isloch to win
1.35
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Isloch vs Belshina Competition: Belarus Vysshaya Liga Date: Sunday, 28th June 2026 KO: 4:30 pm Pick: 1 (Isloch to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 58% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ledger Ref: EFC53D1FA
Head to Head
Record
8
Isloch
1
Draws
1
Belshina
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Isloch won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Isloch
Metric
Belshina
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.9
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-3-2
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.7
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
I0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 6.7%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
I1
1-0 11.4%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 5.7%
1-3 1.9%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
I2
2-0 9.7%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
I3
3-0 5.5%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
I4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
I5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.4%) 2-0(9.7%) 2-1(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing I=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Isloch Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Belshina Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Isloch
Overall
5.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.0
Belshina
Overall
2.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 31%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.08.23VL
Belshina0
Isloch2
14.04.23VL
Isloch2
Belshina0
09.10.22VL
Isloch2
Belshina0
21.05.22VL
Belshina2
Isloch1
17.02.21CF
Isloch2
Belshina0
13.09.20VL
Belshina2
Isloch3
10.05.20VL
Isloch2
Belshina1
09.07.17CUP
Belshina1
Isloch4
01.03.17CF
Belshina1
Isloch2
17.09.16VL
Belshina0
Isloch0
Recent Form
Isloch
20.06.26VL
Slavia Mozyr0
Isloch2
W
12.06.26VL
Isloch3
Naftan1
W
29.05.26VL
FC Minsk1
Isloch1
D
23.05.26VL
Isloch3
Vitebsk0
W
15.05.26VL
Neman0
Isloch1
W
08.05.26VL
FC Gomel2
Isloch0
L
01.05.26VL
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2
Isloch2
D
26.04.26VL
Isloch2
Dnepr Mogilev1
W
19.04.26VL
Din. Minsk1
Isloch1
D
09.04.26VL
Isloch0
Dynamo Brest1
L
Belshina
20.06.26VL
Belshina0
Zhodino2
L
12.06.26VL
Belshina1
BATE1
D
31.05.26VL
Slavia Mozyr2
Belshina1
L
23.05.26VL
Belshina5
Naftan1
W
15.05.26VL
FC Minsk5
Belshina1
L
09.05.26VL
Belshina1
Vitebsk0
W
02.05.26VL
Neman2
Belshina1
L
26.04.26VL
Belshina0
FC Gomel2
L
20.04.26VL
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2
Belshina0
L
10.04.26VL
Belshina1
Dnepr Mogilev2
L
Isloch (Home)
12.06.26VL
Isloch3
Naftan1
W
23.05.26VL
Isloch3
Vitebsk0
W
26.04.26VL
Isloch2
Dnepr Mogilev1
W
09.04.26VL
Isloch0
Dynamo Brest1
L
28.03.26CF
Isloch0
Slutsk1
L
22.03.26VL
Isloch2
Baranovici0
W
07.03.26CUP
Isloch1
Din. Minsk0
W
28.02.26CF
Isloch3
Lida2
W
21.02.26CF
Isloch1
Zhodino1
D
21.02.26CF
Isloch1
Zhodino0
W
Belshina (Away)
31.05.26VL
Slavia Mozyr2
Belshina1
L
15.05.26VL
FC Minsk5
Belshina1
L
02.05.26VL
Neman2
Belshina1
L
20.04.26VL
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2
Belshina0
L
04.04.26VL
Din. Minsk2
Belshina0
L
28.02.26CF
BATE2
Belshina1
L
25.02.26CF
Slavia Mozyr1
Belshina0
L
07.02.26CF
BumProm Gomel3
Belshina1
L
31.01.26CF
Din. Minsk3
Belshina2
L
28.01.26CF
ML Vitebsk2
Belshina0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Sunday, 28th June 2026, Isloch host Belshina at SOK Olympijskij (Minsk) in Belarus Vysshaya Liga. Our analysis desk recommends Isloch to win as the standout selection.

Isloch arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Belshina are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Isloch, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Belshina's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: isloch to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Belarus Vysshaya Liga fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at SOK Olympijskij (Minsk), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.35, a call the model rates at roughly 50,30,20%. Things get underway at 4:30 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

 

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 29 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Isloch vs Belshina?
Our selection is 1 — Isloch to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Isloch's current form?
Isloch have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Belshina been performing recently?
Belshina have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Isloch lead with 8 wins versus Belshina's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.