LOST Case LOST FC Gareji Sagarejo 1-2 Odishi 1919
Fixture Case File · Ref V
F

FC Gareji Sagarejo

Home Side
D W W D W
6W 4D 0L → Holding Steady
VS
1-2
2:00 pm
Central stadium (Sagaredzo)
O
Odishi 1919
Away Side
L D W W D
3W 3D 4L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
80%
Monday, 22nd June 2026 Case Verdict
1X
Filing on FC Gareji Sagarejo to win or draw
Implied Prob87.7%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-7.7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBFC<G<<<<<<S<<<<<<<<<<<O<<<<<<1919<<<<<<A21EEA41F4DFB7001012M7001019<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 23 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2
Draws
0
Odishi 1919
2
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Metric
Odishi 1919
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.5
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-4-0
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
60%
30%
2.5
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
F0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 8.2%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
F1
1-0 12.9%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 1.9%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
F2
2-0 9.7%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 4.4%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
F3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 2.2%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.9%) 1-1(12.3%) 2-0(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing F=Home goals ↓   O=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Overall
7.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.7
Odishi 1919
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.05.26EL2
Odishi 19191
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
11.04.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
Odishi 19191
Recent Form
FC Gareji Sagarejo
17.06.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo0
Shturmi0
D
13.06.26EL2
Gori1
FC Gareji Sagarejo3
W
30.05.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo3
Samtredia2
W
24.05.26EL2
Bolnisi1
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
D
20.05.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
Merani Martvili0
W
16.05.26EL2
Kolkheti 19131
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
D
10.05.26EL2
Dusheti0
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
W
06.05.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo2
Telavi0
W
02.05.26EL2
Odishi 19191
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
D
26.04.26EL2
Shturmi1
FC Gareji Sagarejo2
W
Odishi 1919
17.06.26EL2
Telavi1
Odishi 19190
L
13.06.26EL2
Odishi 19191
Dusheti1
D
30.05.26EL2
Odishi 19192
Shturmi1
W
24.05.26EL2
Gori1
Odishi 19193
W
20.05.26EL2
Odishi 19191
Samtredia1
D
16.05.26EL2
Bolnisi1
Odishi 19190
L
10.05.26EL2
Odishi 19191
Merani Martvili2
L
06.05.26EL2
Kolkheti 19135
Odishi 19190
L
02.05.26EL2
Odishi 19191
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
D
26.04.26EL2
Odishi 19193
Telavi1
W
FC Gareji Sagarejo (Home)
17.06.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo0
Shturmi0
D
30.05.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo3
Samtredia2
W
20.05.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
Merani Martvili0
W
06.05.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo2
Telavi0
W
22.04.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
Gori0
W
11.04.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
Odishi 19191
D
07.04.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo2
Bolnisi0
W
15.03.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo2
Kolkheti 19131
W
11.03.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
Dusheti0
W
10.12.25EL1
FC Gareji Sagarejo0
Spaeri2
L
Odishi 1919 (Away)
17.06.26EL2
Telavi1
Odishi 19190
L
24.05.26EL2
Gori1
Odishi 19193
W
16.05.26EL2
Bolnisi1
Odishi 19190
L
06.05.26EL2
Kolkheti 19135
Odishi 19190
L
22.04.26EL2
Dusheti2
Odishi 19191
L
18.04.26EL2
Shturmi1
Odishi 19190
L
11.04.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
Odishi 19191
D
03.04.26EL2
Samtredia2
Odishi 19190
L
11.03.26EL2
Merani Martvili2
Odishi 19193
W
29.01.26CF
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Odishi 19191
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 22nd June 2026, FC Gareji Sagarejo host Odishi 1919 at Central stadium (Sagaredzo) in Georgia Crystalbet Liga 2. Our analysis desk recommends FC Gareji Sagarejo to win or draw as the standout selection.

FC Gareji Sagarejo arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Odishi 1919 are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour FC Gareji Sagarejo, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Odishi 1919's 0, with 2 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: fc gareji sagarejo to win or draw at odds of 1.14 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Georgia Crystalbet Liga 2 fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Central stadium (Sagaredzo), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1X at @1.14, a call the model rates at roughly 80%. Things get underway at 2:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

 

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 23 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Odishi 1919?
Our selection is 1X — FC Gareji Sagarejo to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is FC Gareji Sagarejo's current form?
FC Gareji Sagarejo have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Odishi 1919 been performing recently?
Odishi 1919 have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FC Gareji Sagarejo lead with 0 wins versus Odishi 1919's 0, with 2 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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