WON Case WON Fakel Voronezh U19 1-5 CSKA Moscow U19
Fixture Case File · Ref V
F

Fakel Voronezh U19

Home Side
L L L W L
3W 0D 7L ▲ Trending Up
VS
1-5
C
CSKA Moscow U19
Away Side
W W L D W
5W 1D 4L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
63%
Thursday, 7th May 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on CSKA Moscow U19 to win
Fakel Voronezh U19 20%
Draw 30%
CSKA Moscow U19 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob74.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-11.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBF<<<<<V<<<<<<<<U19<<<<CSKA<M<<<<<<U19<<6135732B04DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 7 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
2 — CSKA Moscow U19 to win
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals95%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Fakel Voronezh U19 vs CSKA Moscow U19 Competition: Russia Youth League Date: Thursday, 7th May 2026 Pick: 2 (CSKA Moscow U19 to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 63% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Ledger Ref: 6135732B0
Head to Head
Record
0
Fakel Voronezh U19
0
Draws
5
CSKA Moscow U19
5
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing CSKA Moscow U19 won 5 of 5 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Fakel Voronezh U19
Metric
CSKA Moscow U19
1.6
Goals For / Game
2.7
2.2
Goals Against / Game
1.7
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
3-0-7
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
30%
50%
4.1
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
F0
0-0 1.7%
0-1 4.1%
0-2 5.0%
0-3 4.1%
0-4 2.5%
0-5 1.2%
F1
1-0 2.7%
1-1 6.7%
1-2 8.2%
1-3 6.7%
1-4 4.1%
1-5 2.0%
F2
2-0 2.3%
2-1 5.5%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 5.5%
2-4 3.4%
2-5 1.7%
F3
3-0 1.2%
3-1 3.0%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 3.0%
3-4 1.9%
3-5 0.9%
F4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.8%
4-5 0.4%
F5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(8.2%) 1-3(6.7%) 2-3(5.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing F=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Fakel Voronezh U19 Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
CSKA Moscow U19 Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Fakel Voronezh U19
Overall
3.0
Scoring
5.3
Defence
2.7
CSKA Moscow U19
Overall
5.3
Scoring
9.0
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Away Win & BTTS No 30%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 41%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.08.25YL
Fakel Voronezh U192
CSKA Moscow U193
04.04.25YL
CSKA Moscow U191
Fakel Voronezh U190
12.07.24YL
CSKA Moscow U197
Fakel Voronezh U192
12.04.24YL
Fakel Voronezh U190
CSKA Moscow U191
01.12.23YL
CSKA Moscow U192
Fakel Voronezh U190
Recent Form
Fakel Voronezh U19
01.05.26YL
Fakel Voronezh U192
Konoplev Academy U193
L
24.04.26YL
Dynamo Moscow U192
Fakel Voronezh U190
L
17.04.26YL
Fakel Voronezh U191
Nizhny Novgorod U192
L
10.04.26YL
Almaz Antey U190
Fakel Voronezh U191
W
03.04.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U194
Fakel Voronezh U192
L
20.03.26YL
Spartak Moscow U194
Fakel Voronezh U193
L
13.03.26YL
Dynamo Makhachkala U192
Fakel Voronezh U190
L
06.03.26YL
Rubin Kazan U192
Fakel Voronezh U193
W
21.11.25YL
FK Rostov U193
Fakel Voronezh U190
L
07.11.25YL
Fakel Voronezh U194
Akhmat Grozny U190
W
CSKA Moscow U19
01.05.26YL
CSKA Moscow U193
Dynamo Moscow U191
W
24.04.26YL
Nizhny Novgorod U190
CSKA Moscow U195
W
17.04.26YL
CSKA Moscow U192
Almaz Antey U193
L
10.04.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U194
CSKA Moscow U194
D
03.04.26YL
CSKA Moscow U192
Spartak Moscow U190
W
20.03.26YL
Dynamo Makhachkala U190
CSKA Moscow U192
W
13.03.26YL
Rubin Kazan U192
CSKA Moscow U194
W
06.03.26YL
Ural U190
CSKA Moscow U195
W
21.11.25YL
Krasnodar U190
CSKA Moscow U192
W
07.11.25YL
CSKA Moscow U193
Spartak Moscow U192
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 7th May 2026, Fakel Voronezh U19 host CSKA Moscow U19 in Russia Youth League. Our analysis desk recommends CSKA Moscow U19 to win as the standout selection.

Fakel Voronezh U19 arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

CSKA Moscow U19 are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Fakel Voronezh U19, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to CSKA Moscow U19's 5, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cska moscow u19 to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Russia Youth League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 2, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.34. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 7 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Fakel Voronezh U19 vs CSKA Moscow U19?
Our selection is 2 — CSKA Moscow U19 to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Fakel Voronezh U19's current form?
Fakel Voronezh U19 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has CSKA Moscow U19 been performing recently?
CSKA Moscow U19 have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Fakel Voronezh U19 lead with 0 wins versus CSKA Moscow U19's 5, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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