WON Case WON Cork City 2-1 Wexford
Fixture Case File · Ref V
C

Cork City

Home Side
W D W W W
8W 2D 0L ▲ Trending Up
VS
2-1
W
Wexford
Away Side
W D W W L
4W 4D 2L ▲ Trending Up
MODERATE
62%
Friday, 17th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Cork City to win
Cork City 50%
Draw 30%
Wexford 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob75.2%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-13.2%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBC<<<<C<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<DBFD986F64DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 18 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
6
Cork City
4
Draws
0
Wexford
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Cork City won 6 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Cork City
Metric
Wexford
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.3
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
8-2-0
W — D — L
4-4-2
Win Rate
80%
40%
2.8
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
C0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 6.4%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 10.6%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 9.3%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.1%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
C4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.6%) 2-1(9.8%) 2-0(9.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓   W=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Cork City Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Wexford Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Cork City
Overall
8.6
Scoring
7.3
Defence
7.7
Wexford
Overall
5.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
20.02.26First Division
Wexford1
Cork City4
18.10.24First Division
Cork City6
Wexford0
04.07.24First Division
Wexford1
Cork City3
06.05.24First Division
Cork City1
Wexford1
01.04.24First Division
Wexford1
Cork City1
15.09.23FAI Cup
Cork City2
Wexford1
07.10.22First Division
Cork City0
Wexford0
22.07.22First Division
Wexford0
Cork City1
20.05.22First Division
Cork City1
Wexford1
01.04.22First Division
Wexford0
Cork City1
Recent Form
Cork City
06.04.26First Division
Cork City4
Kerry2
W
03.04.26First Division
Finn Harps0
Cork City0
D
27.03.26First Division
Cork City4
Athlone1
W
20.03.26First Division
UC Dublin0
Cork City1
W
13.03.26First Division
Cork City2
Longford1
W
06.03.26First Division
Cobh Ramblers1
Cork City1
D
27.02.26First Division
Cork City1
Bray0
W
20.02.26First Division
Wexford1
Cork City4
W
13.02.26First Division
Cork City1
Treaty United0
W
04.02.26Club Friendly
Cork City4
Kerry1
W
Wexford
10.04.26First Division
Wexford1
Athlone0
W
06.04.26First Division
UC Dublin0
Wexford0
D
03.04.26First Division
Wexford2
Bray1
W
27.03.26First Division
Wexford3
Treaty United2
W
21.03.26First Division
Longford2
Wexford0
L
13.03.26First Division
Wexford1
Kerry1
D
06.03.26First Division
Finn Harps1
Wexford1
D
27.02.26First Division
Athlone2
Wexford2
D
20.02.26First Division
Wexford1
Cork City4
L
13.02.26First Division
Cobh Ramblers0
Wexford3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Friday, 17th April 2026, Cork City host Wexford in Ireland Division 1. Our analysis desk recommends Cork City to win as the standout selection.

Cork City arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Wexford are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 4D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cork City, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Wexford's 0, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cork city to win at odds of 1.33 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Ireland Division 1 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.33. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 18 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cork City vs Wexford?
Our selection is 1 — Cork City to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Cork City's current form?
Cork City have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Wexford been performing recently?
Wexford have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cork City lead with 6 wins versus Wexford's 0, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.