WON Case WON Copenhagen 3-0 Vejle
Fixture Case File · Ref V
C

Copenhagen

Home Side
W W W W L
5W 1D 4L ▼ Trending Down
VS
3-0
V
Vejle
Away Side
L L D D D
0W 5D 5L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
62%
Monday, 27th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Copenhagen to win
Copenhagen 60%
Draw 20%
Vejle 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob83.3%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-21.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBC<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<V<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<7AEA53C254DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 27 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Copenhagen to win
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals100% BTTS — Yes90%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Copenhagen vs Vejle Competition: Denmark Superliga Date: Monday, 27th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Copenhagen to win) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%) Also: BTTS — Yes (90%) Ledger Ref: 7AEA53C25
Head to Head
Record
8
Copenhagen
1
Draws
1
Vejle
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Copenhagen won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Copenhagen
Metric
Vejle
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.4
Goals Against / Game
2.1
10%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-1-4
W — D — L
0-5-5
Win Rate
50%
0%
3.6
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
90%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
C0
0-0 2.9%
0-1 3.9%
0-2 2.6%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 6.3%
1-1 8.5%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
C2
2-0 7.0%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
C3
3-0 5.1%
3-1 6.9%
3-2 4.7%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
C4
4-0 2.8%
4-1 3.8%
4-2 2.6%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.7%
5-2 1.1%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.4%) 2-0(7.0%) 3-1(6.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓   V=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Copenhagen Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Vejle Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Copenhagen
Overall
5.3
Scoring
7.7
Defence
5.3
Vejle
Overall
1.5
Scoring
4.3
Defence
3.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 57%
Home Win & BTTS No 6%
Draw & BTTS Yes 34%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes -1%
Away Win & BTTS No -0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 50%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 30%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 -1%
Away Win & Under 2.5 -0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.04.26SL
Vejle1
FC Copenhagen4
09.11.25SL
Vejle2
FC Copenhagen0
26.07.25SL
FC Copenhagen2
Vejle0
18.10.24SL
FC Copenhagen3
Vejle1
29.09.24SL
Vejle1
FC Copenhagen2
21.10.23SL
FC Copenhagen2
Vejle1
29.07.23SL
Vejle2
FC Copenhagen3
06.04.23CUP
Vejle0
FC Copenhagen0
01.03.23CUP
FC Copenhagen2
Vejle0
31.10.21SL
FC Copenhagen3
Vejle0
Recent Form
Copenhagen
22.04.26SL
FC Copenhagen2
Odense1
W
19.04.26SL
Vejle1
FC Copenhagen4
W
12.04.26SL
Randers FC1
FC Copenhagen2
W
05.04.26SL
FC Copenhagen7
Silkeborg0
W
22.03.26SL
FC Copenhagen1
Fredericia2
L
15.03.26SL
Odense2
FC Copenhagen1
L
07.03.26CUP
Viborg1
FC Copenhagen2
W
01.03.26SL
FC Copenhagen1
Randers FC2
L
21.02.26SL
Odense2
FC Copenhagen2
D
14.02.26SL
FC Copenhagen1
Nordsjaelland2
L
Vejle
22.04.26SL
Vejle1
Silkeborg2
L
19.04.26SL
Vejle1
FC Copenhagen4
L
13.04.26SL
Fredericia2
Vejle2
D
06.04.26SL
Vejle1
Randers FC1
D
20.03.26SL
Vejle1
Odense1
D
16.03.26SL
Silkeborg1
Vejle1
D
01.03.26SL
Vejle1
Aarhus2
L
20.02.26SL
Nordsjaelland3
Vejle3
D
13.02.26SL
Randers FC2
Vejle0
L
09.02.26SL
Vejle2
Fredericia3
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 27th April 2026, Copenhagen host Vejle in Denmark Superliga. Our analysis desk recommends Copenhagen to win as the standout selection.

Copenhagen arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Vejle are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 5D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Copenhagen, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Vejle's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: copenhagen to win at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Denmark Superliga game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.20. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 27 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Copenhagen vs Vejle?
Our selection is 1 — Copenhagen to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Copenhagen's current form?
Copenhagen have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Vejle been performing recently?
Vejle have recorded 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Copenhagen lead with 8 wins versus Vejle's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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