WON Case WON Radnicki 1923 4-0 Sp Subotica
Fixture Case File · Ref V
R

Radnicki 1923

Home Side
D D D D D
0W 8D 2L → Holding Steady
VS
4-0
S
Sp Subotica
Away Side
L L L L L
1W 2D 7L ▼ Trending Down
CAUTION
35%
Monday, 27th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Radnicki 1923 to win
Radnicki 1923 50%
Draw 30%
Sp Subotica 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob78.1%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-43.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBR<<<<<<<<1923<<<<<<<<<S<<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<A9710828D4DFB2608242M2608249<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 27 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Radnicki 1923 to win
1.28
Under 2.5 Goals65%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Radnicki 1923 vs Sp Subotica Competition: Serbia Mozzart Super Liga Date: Monday, 27th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Radnicki 1923 to win) Odds: 1.28 Confidence: 35% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%) Ledger Ref: A9710828D
Head to Head
Record
5
Radnicki 1923
3
Draws
2
Sp Subotica
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Neutral Radnicki 1923 won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Radnicki 1923
Metric
Sp Subotica
0.5
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.8
Goals Against / Game
2
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
0-8-2
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
0%
10%
2.3
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
R0
0-0 10.5%
0-1 10.5%
0-2 5.3%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
R1
1-0 13.2%
1-1 13.2%
1-2 6.6%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
R2
2-0 8.2%
2-1 8.2%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
R3
3-0 3.4%
3-1 3.4%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
R4
4-0 1.1%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
R5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.2%) 2-0(8.2%) 2-1(8.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing R=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Radnicki 1923 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Sp Subotica Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Radnicki 1923
Overall
2.4
Scoring
1.7
Defence
7.3
Sp Subotica
Overall
1.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 0%
Draw & BTTS Yes 42%
Draw & BTTS No 42%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 29%
Draw & Under 2.5 54%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.02.26SL
Sp. Subotica3
Radnicki 19233
20.09.25SL
Radnicki 19232
Sp. Subotica0
16.12.24SL
Radnicki 19232
Sp. Subotica0
10.08.24SL
Sp. Subotica1
Radnicki 19230
07.04.24SL
Radnicki 19233
Sp. Subotica1
06.11.23SL
Sp. Subotica1
Radnicki 19233
01.04.23SL
Radnicki 19232
Sp. Subotica2
02.10.22SL
Sp. Subotica1
Radnicki 19232
14.05.22SL
Sp. Subotica2
Radnicki 19231
21.11.21SL
Sp. Subotica1
Radnicki 19231
Recent Form
Radnicki 1923
23.04.26SL
Mladost0
Radnicki 19230
D
19.04.26SL
Radnicki 19231
Radnicki Nis1
D
09.04.26SL
Cukaricki0
Radnicki 19230
D
04.04.26SL
Radnicki 19231
Mladost1
D
22.03.26SL
TSC0
Radnicki 19230
D
15.03.26SL
Radnicki 19230
Vojvodina1
L
09.03.26SL
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet0
Radnicki 19230
D
01.03.26SL
Radnicki 19230
Crvena zvezda2
L
22.02.26SL
Sp. Subotica3
Radnicki 19233
D
15.02.26SL
Radnicki 19230
Radnik0
D
Sp Subotica
23.04.26SL
Sp. Subotica1
TSC4
L
19.04.26SL
Javor1
Sp. Subotica0
L
09.04.26SL
Crvena zvezda3
Sp. Subotica2
L
04.04.26SL
Sp. Subotica1
Javor2
L
20.03.26SL
Sp. Subotica1
Radnik3
L
14.03.26SL
Radnicki Nis0
Sp. Subotica2
W
08.03.26SL
Sp. Subotica0
IMT Novi Beograd1
L
01.03.26SL
Napredak1
Sp. Subotica1
D
22.02.26SL
Sp. Subotica3
Radnicki 19233
D
14.02.26SL
Partizan2
Sp. Subotica1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 27th April 2026, Radnicki 1923 host Sp Subotica in Serbia Mozzart Super Liga. Our analysis desk recommends Radnicki 1923 to win as the standout selection.

Radnicki 1923 arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 0 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Sp Subotica are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Radnicki 1923, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Sp Subotica's 2, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: radnicki 1923 to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Serbia Mozzart Super Liga game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.28. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 27 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Radnicki 1923 vs Sp Subotica?
Our selection is 1 — Radnicki 1923 to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 35%.
What is Radnicki 1923's current form?
Radnicki 1923 have won 0, drawn 8 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sp Subotica been performing recently?
Sp Subotica have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Radnicki 1923 lead with 5 wins versus Sp Subotica's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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