WON Case WON Celik Zenica 2-1 Sloboda
Fixture Case File · Ref V
C

Celik Zenica

Home Side
W D L W W
7W 2D 1L ▼ Trending Down
VS
2-1
S
Sloboda
Away Side
L W L W L
3W 1D 6L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
90%
Wednesday, 1st April 2026 Case Verdict
1X
Filing on Celik Zenica to win or draw
Implied Prob93.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-3.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBC<<<<<Z<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<A3B26EC344DFB2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 1 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
3
Celik Zenica
4
Draws
3
Sloboda
10
Meetings
1.5
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Celik Zenica
Metric
Sloboda
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.5
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-2-1
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.4
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
C0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 7.6%
0-2 3.1%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 14.8%
1-1 11.8%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
C2
2-0 11.5%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 3.7%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 4.7%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 1.8%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.8%) 1-1(11.8%) 2-0(11.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Celik Zenica
Overall
7.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
8.3
Sloboda
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
06.09.25
FBiH: Sloboda Tuzla1
Celik Zenica1
18.05.24
FBiH: Sloboda Tuzla0
Celik Zenica0
21.10.23
FBiH: Celik Zenica1
Sloboda Tuzla0
07.03.20
LIG: Sloboda Tuzla2
Celik Zenica1
28.09.19
LIG: Celik Zenica0
Sloboda Tuzla0
16.03.19
LIG: Sloboda Tuzla0
Celik Zenica1
23.02.19
LIG: Celik Zenica2
Sloboda Tuzla1
14.09.18
LIG: Sloboda Tuzla1
Celik Zenica0
05.05.18
LIG: Celik Zenica0
Sloboda Tuzla2
31.03.18
LIG: Sloboda Tuzla1
Celik Zenica1
Recent Form
Celik Zenica
22.03.26
FBiH: HNK Tomislav1
Celik Zenica2
W
14.03.26
FBiH: Celik Zenica1
NK Travnik1
D
11.02.26
CUP: Celik Zenica0
FK Sarajevo1
L
16.11.25
FBiH: Celik Zenica1
GOSK Gabela0
W
08.11.25
FBiH: Igman K.1
Celik Zenica2
W
02.11.25
FBiH: Hadzici0
Celik Zenica1
W
29.10.25
CUP: Celik Zenica1
Posusje0
W
25.10.25
FBiH: Celik Zenica5
Tuzla City0
W
19.10.25
FBiH: TOSK Tesanj0
Celik Zenica0
D
11.10.25
FBiH: Celik Zenica3
NK Vitez1
W
Sloboda
22.03.26
FBiH: Sloboda Tuzla2
Hadzici3
L
14.03.26
FBiH: Tuzla City0
Sloboda Tuzla1
W
16.11.25
FBiH: TOSK Tesanj1
Sloboda Tuzla0
L
08.11.25
FBiH: Sloboda Tuzla3
NK Vitez1
W
02.11.25
FBiH: Jedinstvo Bihac2
Sloboda Tuzla1
L
29.10.25
CUP: Sloboda Tuzla0
Zeljeznicar2
L
26.10.25
FBiH: Sloboda Tuzla0
Stupcanica1
L
18.10.25
FBiH: Bratstvo Gracanica1
Sloboda Tuzla1
D
11.10.25
FBiH: Sloboda Tuzla0
Banovici2
L
05.10.25
FBiH: Sloboda Tuzla3
Igman K.2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 1st April 2026, Celik Zenica host Sloboda in Bosnia PRVA Liga - FBIH. Our analysis desk recommends Celik Zenica to win or draw as the standout selection.

Celik Zenica arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Sloboda are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Celik Zenica, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Sloboda's 3, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: celik zenica to win or draw at odds of 1.07 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Bosnia PRVA Liga – FBIH game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1X, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.07. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 1 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Celik Zenica vs Sloboda?
Our selection is 1X — Celik Zenica to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.07. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Celik Zenica's current form?
Celik Zenica have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sloboda been performing recently?
Sloboda have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Celik Zenica lead with 3 wins versus Sloboda's 3, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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