Fixture Case File · Ref V
B

Breidablik W

Home Side
W W W W W
6W 0D 4L → Holding Steady
VS
PP
H
Hafnarfjordur W
Away Side
L W L L W
5W 1D 4L → Holding Steady
CAUTION
38%
Thursday, 2nd April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Breidablik W to win
Breidablik W 20%
Draw 30%
Hafnarfjordur W 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob79.4%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-41.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBB<<<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<H<<<<<<<<<<<<<W<<08E89AF274DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 2 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Breidablik W to win
1.26
BTTS — No70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Breidablik W vs Hafnarfjordur W Competition: Iceland Super Cup W Date: Thursday, 2nd April 2026 Pick: 1 (Breidablik W to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 38% Also: BTTS — No (70%) Ledger Ref: 08E89AF27
Head to Head
Record
8
Breidablik W
1
Draws
1
Hafnarfjordur W
10
Meetings
4.1
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Breidablik W won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Breidablik W
Metric
Hafnarfjordur W
3.3
Goals For / Game
0
2.1
Goals Against / Game
0
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-0-4
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
60%
50%
2.7
Avg Goals
45%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
B0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 11.1%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.1%) 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing B=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Breidablik W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Hafnarfjordur W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Breidablik W
Overall
6.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
3.0
Hafnarfjordur W
Overall
5.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 31%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 24%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.10.25
Besta Deild: Breidablik W3
Hafnarfjordur2
04.09.25
Besta Deild: Breidablik W2
Hafnarfjordur1
16.08.25
Cup: Hafnarfjordur W2
Breidablik W (AET)3
23.05.25
Besta Deild: Hafnarfjordur W2
Breidablik1
01.02.25
Cup: Hafnarfjordur W2
Breidablik4
28.09.24
Besta Deild: Breidablik W4
Hafnarfjordur2
07.07.24
Besta Deild: Hafnarfjordur W0
Breidablik4
03.05.24
Besta Deild: Breidablik W3
Hafnarfjordur0
30.09.23
Besta Deild: Breidablik W3
Hafnarfjordur1
29.07.23
Besta Deild: Hafnarfjordur W1
Breidablik1
Recent Form
Breidablik W
28.03.26
League Cup: Breidablik W4
Víkingur R. W1
W
20.03.26
League Cup: Stjarnan W1
Breidablik W6
W
16.03.26
League Cup: Fram W0
Breidablik W4
W
10.03.26
League Cup: Breidablik W7
ÍBV W0
W
06.03.26
League Cup: Breidablik W7
Víkingur R. W3
W
18.02.26
UWCL: Breidablik W1
Häcken W4
L
11.02.26
UWCL: Häcken W7
Breidablik W0
L
05.02.26
Cup: Breidablik W1
Valur W2
L
19.11.25
UWCL: Fortuna Hjørring W2
Breidablik W (AET)3
W
12.11.25
UWCL: Breidablik W0
Fortuna Hjørring W1
L
Hafnarfjordur W
10.03.26
League Cup: Þór/KA W4
FH Hafnarfjörður W2
L
07.03.26
League Cup: FH Hafnarfjörður W11
FHL W1
W
25.02.26
League Cup: FH Hafnarfjörður W0
Grindavík/Njarðvík W1
L
21.02.26
League Cup: Þróttur W3
FH Hafnarfjörður W2
L
16.02.26
League Cup: Stjarnan W1
FH Hafnarfjörður W3
W
18.10.25
Besta Deild: Breiðablik W3
FH Hafnarfjörður W2
L
11.10.25
Besta Deild: FH Hafnarfjörður W3
Víkingur R. W2
W
05.10.25
Besta Deild: FH Hafnarfjörður W4
Þróttur W0
W
01.10.25
Besta Deild: Stjarnan W3
FH Hafnarfjörður W4
W
25.09.25
Besta Deild: FH Hafnarfjörður W1
Valur W1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 2nd April 2026, Breidablik W host Hafnarfjordur W in Iceland Super Cup W. Our analysis desk recommends Breidablik W to win as the standout selection.

Breidablik W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hafnarfjordur W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Breidablik W, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Hafnarfjordur W's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: breidablik w to win at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Iceland Super Cup W game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.26. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 2 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Breidablik W vs Hafnarfjordur W?
Our selection is 1 — Breidablik W to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 38%.
What is Breidablik W's current form?
Breidablik W have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hafnarfjordur W been performing recently?
Hafnarfjordur W have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Breidablik W lead with 8 wins versus Hafnarfjordur W's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.