WON Case WON Al Hilal 6-0 Al Kholood
Fixture Case File · Ref V
A

Al Hilal

Home Side
D W W W W
5W 5D 0L ▲ Trending Up
VS
6-0
A
Al Kholood
Away Side
D W L L W
3W 3D 4L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
64%
Wednesday, 8th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Al Hilal to win
Implied Prob89.3%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-25.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBA<<H<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<A<<K<<<<<<<<<<<<<FC8E0AA794DFB2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 9 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Al Hilal to win
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Al Hilal vs Al Kholood Competition: Saudi Professional League Date: Wednesday, 8th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Hilal to win) Odds: 1.12 Confidence: 64% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: FC8E0AA79
Head to Head
Record
3
Al Hilal
0
Draws
0
Al Kholood
3
Meetings
5.3
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Al Hilal won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Hilal
Metric
Al Kholood
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.6
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-5-0
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
50%
30%
2.8
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 6.4%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 10.6%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 9.3%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.1%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.6%) 2-1(9.8%) 2-0(9.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Hilal
Overall
6.5
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.0
Al Kholood
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 21%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.12.25
Saudi Pro League: Al Kholood1
Al Hilal3
25.02.25
Saudi Pro League: Al Hilal5
Al Kholood1
28.09.24
Saudi Pro League: Al Kholood2
Al Hilal4
Recent Form
Al Hilal
04.04.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Hilal2
Al Taawon2
D
18.03.26
King’s Cup (SF): Al Ahli SC1
Al Hilal (Won 2-1 ET)1
W
14.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Fateh0
Al Hilal1
W
06.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Hilal4
Al Najma0
W
27.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Shabab3
Al Hilal5
W
24.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Taawon1
Al Hilal1
D
21.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Hilal1
Al Ittihad1
D
16.02.26
Champions League (GS): Al Hilal2
Al Wahda1
W
13.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Hilal2
Al Ettifaq0
W
09.02.26
Champions League (GS): Shabab Al-Ahli0
Al Hilal0
D
Al Kholood
03.04.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Kholood2
Al Khaleej2
D
18.03.26
King’s Cup: Al Kholood1
Al Ittihad (Won 3-1 on Pens)1
W
12.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Hazem2
Al Kholood1
L
07.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Kholood1
Al Qadsiah4
L
28.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Neom SC1
Al Kholood2
W
24.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Khaleej2
Al Kholood3
W
19.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Kholood0
Al Riyadh2
L
14.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Najma2
Al Kholood1
L
07.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Kholood1
Al Shabab0
W
03.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Damac0
Al Kholood0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 8th April 2026, Al Hilal host Al Kholood in Saudi Professional League. Our analysis desk recommends Al Hilal to win as the standout selection.

Al Hilal arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Kholood are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Hilal, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Al Kholood's 0, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al hilal to win at odds of 1.12 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Saudi Professional League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.12. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 9 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Hilal vs Al Kholood?
Our selection is 1 — Al Hilal to win, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Al Hilal's current form?
Al Hilal have won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Kholood been performing recently?
Al Kholood have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Hilal lead with 3 wins versus Al Kholood's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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