LOST Case LOST AB Copenhagen 1-1 VSK Aarhus
Fixture Case File · Ref V
A

AB Copenhagen

Home Side
D W W W W
6W 3D 1L ▼ Trending Down
VS
1-1
V
VSK Aarhus
Away Side
D D W W D
2W 5D 3L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
45%
Monday, 6th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on AB Copenhagen to win
AB Copenhagen 50%
Draw 30%
VSK Aarhus 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob77.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-32.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBAB<C<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<VSK<A<<<<<<<<<<<<C5DA3EA814DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 6 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — AB Copenhagen to win
1.29
BTTS — No65% AB Copenhagen Clean Sheet60%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
AB Copenhagen vs VSK Aarhus Competition: Denmark 2 Division Date: Monday, 6th April 2026 Pick: 1 (AB Copenhagen to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 45% Also: BTTS — No (65%) Also: AB Copenhagen Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: C5DA3EA81
Head to Head
Record
1
AB Copenhagen
1
Draws
3
VSK Aarhus
5
Meetings
4.2
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Against Filing AB Copenhagen won 1 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
AB Copenhagen
Metric
VSK Aarhus
2.1
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.1
60%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-3-1
W — D — L
2-5-3
Win Rate
60%
20%
2.4
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
A0
0-0 9.1%
0-1 7.3%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 14.5%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 4.6%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 11.6%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 3.7%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 6.2%
3-1 5.0%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.5%) 2-0(11.6%) 2-1(9.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓   V=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
AB Copenhagen Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
VSK Aarhus Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
AB Copenhagen
Overall
6.9
Scoring
7.0
Defence
7.7
VSK Aarhus
Overall
3.5
Scoring
3.0
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 33%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.10.25
2. Div: VSK Aarhus1
AB Copenhagen3
09.11.19
2. Div: VSK Aarhus3
AB Copenhagen0
29.09.19
2. Div: AB Copenhagen2
VSK Aarhus3
16.06.18
2. Div: VSK Aarhus4
AB Copenhagen3
22.04.18
2. Div: AB Copenhagen1
VSK Aarhus1
Recent Form
AB Copenhagen
02.04.26
2. Div: Skive IK0
AB Copenhagen0
D
27.03.26
2. Div: AB Copenhagen2
FC Roskilde0
W
21.03.26
2. Div: AB Copenhagen5
Ishøj IF1
W
15.03.26
2. Div: Thisted FC0
AB Copenhagen2
W
07.03.26
2. Div: AB Copenhagen3
Hellerup IK0
W
20.02.26
Friendly: Fremad Amager1
AB Copenhagen1
D
14.02.26
Friendly: Trelleborgs FF0
AB Copenhagen1
W
02.02.26
Friendly: Hvidovre IF2
AB Copenhagen1
L
24.01.26
Friendly: HB Køge3
AB Copenhagen3
D
17.01.26
Friendly: FA 20000
AB Copenhagen3
W
VSK Aarhus
02.04.26
2. Div: VSK Aarhus0
Vendsyssel FF0
D
28.03.26
2. Div: Ishøj IF2
VSK Aarhus2
D
21.03.26
2. Div: VSK Aarhus4
Hellerup IK1
W
15.03.26
2. Div: FC Helsingør0
VSK Aarhus1
W
07.03.26
2. Div: VSK Aarhus0
Thisted FC0
D
24.02.26
Friendly: Brabrand2
VSK Aarhus0
L
08.02.26
Friendly: Næsby2
VSK Aarhus0
L
30.01.26
Friendly: VSK Aarhus0
Skive IK2
L
22.01.26
Friendly: VSK Aarhus0
Vendsyssel FF0
D
16.11.25
2. Div: Næstved BK2
VSK Aarhus2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 6th April 2026, AB Copenhagen host VSK Aarhus in Denmark 2 Division. Our analysis desk recommends AB Copenhagen to win as the standout selection.

AB Copenhagen arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

VSK Aarhus are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 5D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour AB Copenhagen, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to VSK Aarhus's 3, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ab copenhagen to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Denmark 2 Division game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.29. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 6 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for AB Copenhagen vs VSK Aarhus?
Our selection is 1 — AB Copenhagen to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is AB Copenhagen's current form?
AB Copenhagen have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has VSK Aarhus been performing recently?
VSK Aarhus have recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
AB Copenhagen lead with 1 wins versus VSK Aarhus's 3, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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