WON Case WON Shelbourne W 2-0 Peamount W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
S

Shelbourne W

Home Side
W W D W W
7W 3D 0L → Holding Steady
VS
2-0
4:00 pm
N/A
P
Peamount W
Away Side
W L W L L
4W 0D 5L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
64%
Saturday, 8th August 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Shelbourne W to win
Shelbourne W 50%
Draw 30%
Peamount W 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob76.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-12.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBS<<<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<P<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<CACA2DF924DFB2608082M2608089<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 10 Aug 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Shelbourne W to win
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals89%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Shelbourne W vs Peamount W Competition: Ireland N'League Women Date: Saturday, 8th August 2026 KO: 4:00 pm Pick: 1 (Shelbourne W to win) Odds: 1.30 Confidence: 64% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (89%) Ledger Ref: CACA2DF92
Head to Head
Record
8
Shelbourne W
0
Draws
2
Peamount W
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Shelbourne W won 8 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Shelbourne W
Metric
Peamount W
2.9
Goals For / Game
1.9
0.6
Goals Against / Game
2.6
50%
Clean Sheets
22%
7-3-0
W — D — L
4-0-5
Win Rate
70%
44%
3.9
Avg Goals
89%
Over 1.5
63%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
S0
0-0 1.8%
0-1 2.3%
0-2 1.4%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 5.0%
1-1 6.3%
1-2 3.9%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 6.9%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
S3
3-0 6.4%
3-1 7.9%
3-2 5.0%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 4.4%
4-1 5.5%
4-2 3.4%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 2.4%
5-1 3.0%
5-2 1.9%
5-3 0.8%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(8.7%) 3-1(7.9%) 2-0(6.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing S=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Shelbourne W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Peamount W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Shelbourne W
Overall
7.9
Scoring
9.7
Defence
8.0
Peamount W
Overall
4.4
Scoring
6.3
Defence
1.5
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
23.05.26WNL
Peamount W2
Shelbourne4
19.07.25WNL
Peamount W1
Shelbourne4
29.03.25WNL
Shelbourne W1
Peamount0
05.10.24WNL
Shelbourne W3
Peamount0
16.03.24WNL
Peamount W0
Shelbourne2
27.05.23WNL
Shelbourne W0
Peamount1
29.03.23WNL
Peamount W1
Shelbourne4
10.09.22WNL
Shelbourne W0
Peamount1
06.08.22CUP
Shelbourne W3
Peamount2
16.07.22WNL
Peamount W0
Shelbourne4
Recent Form
Shelbourne W
05.08.26WNL
Shelbourne W3
Cork City W0
W
01.08.26CUP
Bohemians WFC W1
Shelbourne W4
W
25.07.26WNL
Treaty Utd W1
Shelbourne W1
D
18.07.26AIC
Shelbourne W2
Galway United W0
W
11.07.26WNL
Shelbourne W3
Waterford W0
W
08.07.26WNL
Athlone WFC W1
Shelbourne W1
D
04.07.26CUP
Shelbourne W6
Bray W0
W
27.06.26AIC
Shelbourne W4
Bohemians WFC W0
W
20.06.26WNL
Shelbourne W2
Sligo Rovers W2
D
13.06.26AIC
Shelbourne W3
Cliftonville W1
W
Peamount W
18.07.26WNL
Waterford W3
Peamount W5
W
11.07.26WNL
Peamount W0
Treaty Utd W2
L
08.07.26WNL
Peamount W1
DLR Waves W0
W
04.07.26CUP
Peamount W0
Athlone WFC W2
L
20.06.26WNL
Cork City W6
Peamount W0
L
13.06.26AIC
Shamrock Rovers W0
Peamount W1
W
30.05.26AIC
Peamount W6
Lisburn Rangers W1
W
23.05.26WNL
Peamount W2
Shelbourne W4
L
16.05.26WNL
Wexford W5
Peamount W2
L
Shelbourne W (Home)
05.08.26WNL
Shelbourne W3
Cork City W0
W
18.07.26AIC
Shelbourne W2
Galway United W0
W
11.07.26WNL
Shelbourne W3
Waterford W0
W
04.07.26CUP
Shelbourne W6
Bray W0
W
27.06.26AIC
Shelbourne W4
Bohemians WFC W0
W
20.06.26WNL
Shelbourne W2
Sligo Rovers W2
D
13.06.26AIC
Shelbourne W3
Cliftonville W1
W
16.05.26WNL
Shelbourne W0
Galway United W0
D
09.05.26AIC
Shelbourne W2
Bohemians WFC W1
W
19.04.26WNL
Shelbourne W1
Bohemians WFC W0
W
Peamount W (Away)
18.07.26WNL
Waterford W3
Peamount W5
W
20.06.26WNL
Cork City W6
Peamount W0
L
13.06.26AIC
Shamrock Rovers W0
Peamount W1
W
16.05.26WNL
Wexford W5
Peamount W2
L
02.05.26WNL
Galway United W2
Peamount W1
L
19.04.26WNL
Athlone WFC W2
Peamount W0
L
04.04.26AIC
Galway United W4
Peamount W0
L
21.03.26WNL
Shamrock Rovers W0
Peamount W2
W
27.09.25WNL
Treaty Utd W0
Peamount W6
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 8th August 2026, Shelbourne W host Peamount W at N/A in Ireland N'League Women. Our analysis desk recommends Shelbourne W to win as the standout selection.

Shelbourne W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Peamount W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 0D 5L across 9 matches.

Historical meetings favour Shelbourne W, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Peamount W's 2, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: shelbourne w to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Ireland N’League Women fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at N/A, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.30, a call the model rates at roughly 50,30,20%. Things get underway at 4:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 10 Aug 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shelbourne W vs Peamount W?
Our selection is 1 — Shelbourne W to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Shelbourne W's current form?
Shelbourne W have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Peamount W been performing recently?
Peamount W have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shelbourne W lead with 8 wins versus Peamount W's 2, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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