LOST Case LOST FK Sarajevo 0-0 Radnik Bijeljina
Fixture Case File ยท Ref V โšฝ
F

FK Sarajevo

Home Side
L D L W W
5W 2D 3L โ†’ Holding Steady
VS
0-0
8:00 pm
Stadion Asim Ferhatoviฤ‡ Hase (Sarajevo)
R
Radnik Bijeljina
Away Side
L L W L L
2W 2D 6L โ–ฒ Trending Up
โš‘
MODERATE
55%
Saturday, 8th August 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on FK Sarajevo to win
FK Sarajevo 50%
Draw 30%
Radnik Bijeljina 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob71.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-16.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBFK<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<R<<<<<<B<<<<<<<<<DE16F420F4DFB2608082M2608089<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst ยท Last checked 10 Aug 2026
โœ“ Data-Audited โœ“ Independently Checked
โšก
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 โ€” FK Sarajevo to win
1.39
BTTS โ€” No65%
๐Ÿ“‹ Case Slip / Combo Builder
FK Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina Competition: Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH Date: Saturday, 8th August 2026 KO: 8:00 pm Pick: 1 (FK Sarajevo to win) Odds: 1.39 Confidence: 55% Also: BTTS โ€” No (65%) Ledger Ref: DE16F420F
โš”
Head to Head
Record
7
FK Sarajevo
3
Draws
0
Radnik Bijeljina
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing FK Sarajevo won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
๐Ÿ“Š
Stats Duel
Comparison
FK Sarajevo
Metric
Radnik Bijeljina
1.6
Goals For / Game
0.2
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
5-2-3
W โ€” D โ€” L
2-2-6
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.2
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
๐ŸŽฏ
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
F0
0-0 11.7%
0-1 8.7%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 16.3%
1-1 12.2%
1-2 4.6%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
F2
2-0 11.4%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 3.2%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
F3
3-0 5.3%
3-1 4.0%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(16.3%) 2-0(11.4%) 2-1(8.6%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts filing F=Home goals โ†“   R=Away โ†’
๐Ÿ“‰
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
FK Sarajevo Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Radnik Bijeljina Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Team Ratings
Grades
FK Sarajevo
Overall
5.6 โ–ฒ
Scoring
5.3 โ–ฒ
Defence
5.7 โ–ฒ
Radnik Bijeljina
Overall
2.6 โ€”
Scoring
0.7 โ€”
Defence
6.0 โ€”
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 34%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
๐Ÿงฎ
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”Ž How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter โ€” a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee โ€” it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

๐Ÿ“ Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds โ€” no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status โ€” nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
๐Ÿ“œ
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.04.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina1
FK Sarajevo2
06.02.26LIG
FK Sarajevo2
Radnik Bijeljina0
18.10.25LIG
Radnik Bijeljina2
FK Sarajevo2
03.08.25LIG
FK Sarajevo4
Radnik Bijeljina4
25.05.25LIG
FK Sarajevo1
Radnik Bijeljina1
03.12.24LIG
Radnik Bijeljina2
FK Sarajevo3
30.08.24LIG
FK Sarajevo2
Radnik Bijeljina0
06.05.22LIG
FK Sarajevo1
Radnik Bijeljina0
06.11.21LIG
Radnik Bijeljina0
FK Sarajevo1
15.08.21LIG
FK Sarajevo2
Radnik Bijeljina1
Recent Form
FK Sarajevo
16.07.26UECL
Inter Turku2
FK Sarajevo1
L
09.07.26UECL
FK Sarajevo1
Inter Turku1
D
04.07.26CF
Zrinjski2
FK Sarajevo1
L
01.07.26CF
Sutjeska1
FK Sarajevo2
W
25.05.26LIG
FK Sarajevo1
Zeljeznicar0
W
21.05.26LIG
Velez Mostar2
FK Sarajevo3
W
16.05.26LIG
FK Sarajevo2
Siroki Brijeg2
D
09.05.26LIG
Prijedor2
FK Sarajevo4
W
03.05.26LIG
FK Sarajevo0
Borac Banja Luka1
L
26.04.26LIG
Posusje0
FK Sarajevo1
W
Radnik Bijeljina
18.07.26CF
Ujpest2
Radnik Bijeljina0
L
14.07.26CF
Radnik Bijeljina0
Akhmat Grozny3
L
11.07.26CF
Napredak0
Radnik Bijeljina1
W
08.07.26CF
Zemun1
Radnik Bijeljina0
L
25.05.26LIG
Siroki Brijeg4
Radnik Bijeljina0
L
22.05.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina0
Borac Banja Luka0
D
16.05.26LIG
Sloga Meridian0
Radnik Bijeljina0
D
09.05.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina0
Zrinjski1
L
01.05.26LIG
Velez Mostar1
Radnik Bijeljina0
L
25.04.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina1
Prijedor0
W
๐Ÿ“
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 8th August 2026, FK Sarajevo host Radnik Bijeljina at Stadion Asim Ferhatoviฤ‡ Hase (Sarajevo) in Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH. Our analysis desk recommends FK Sarajevo to win as the standout selection.

FK Sarajevo arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Radnik Bijeljina are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour FK Sarajevo, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Radnik Bijeljina's 0, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: fk sarajevo to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin โ€” and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Stadion Asim Ferhatoviฤ‡ Hase (Sarajevo), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.39, a call the model rates at roughly 50,30,20%. Things get underway at 8:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today โ€” worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 10 Aug 2026
โ“
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FK Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina?
Our selection is 1 โ€” FK Sarajevo to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is FK Sarajevo's current form?
FK Sarajevo have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Radnik Bijeljina been performing recently?
Radnik Bijeljina have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FK Sarajevo lead with 7 wins versus Radnik Bijeljina's 0, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
โš ๏ธ
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